TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12469338
Played Aug 21Finished
Tomas Krenek
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711118119116––
Vojtech Konvicka
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:14 and never touched — 64.7% is still 64.7%
Graded at full timeTomas Krenek to win
64.7%
64.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Krenek above · Vojtech Konvicka below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 74 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Tomas Krenek at 64.7%
74 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Krenek 3–1 Vojtech Konvicka Vojtech Konvicka has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:14What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Krenek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Krenek
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krenek 1736 vs Konvicka 1532
Krenek
Correct
both rated, 203 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krenek 80% vs Konvicka 20%
Krenek
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krenek 80% vs Konvicka 30%
Krenek
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krenek +3 · Konvicka -2
Krenek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Krenek) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Konvicka form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrenek 1.50 / Konvicka 2.50
Signal prob.70% / 31%
Edge (Krenek)+7.0pp
TT Cup · #12469338
Krenek1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite50% won 108 of 215
Up 2–0, closes it89% 42 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it74% 72 of 98
Konvicka2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog53% won 41 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back21% 8 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKrenek3wins
AwayKonvicka1wins
4 of 4 to a deciderKrenek leads 3–1, and 4 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krenek2Konvicka2n = 4split evenly
S2Krenek3Konvicka1n = 4Krenek took 3 of 4
S3Krenek2Konvicka2n = 4split evenly
S4Krenek1Konvicka3n = 4Konvicka took 3 of 4
S5Krenek3Konvicka1n = 4Krenek took 3 of 4
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home375%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKrenekKonvickaKrenek − KonvickaBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match48.245.2+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrenekKonvickaBasisWin rate · lifetime422 / 838 vs 130 / 24750.4%52.6%422 / 838 vs 130 / 247Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.437.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrenekKrenek 1.50/Konvicka 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Krenek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Krenek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WJul 8 · 16:40T. Krenek—641111113V. Konvicka—11118982
LJul 8 · 15:10T. Krenek—713111092V. Konvicka—1111712113
WJul 1 · 16:50T. Krenek—1111118113V. Konvicka—92131182
WJul 1 · 15:15T. Krenek—1111510113V. Konvicka—93111242
T. Krenek10
WSep 6 · 13:10T. Krenek1.8613111113L. Slavik1.781111581WSep 6 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.7378100T. Krenek2.001111123LSep 6 · 11:15E. Precek2.10571112113T. Krenek1.67111181092WSep 6 · 10:15T. Krenek1.73111118163L. Slavik2.00481111142WSep 6 · 09:20D. Jr1.987590T. Krenek1.731111113LSep 6 · 07:45T. Krenek1.7311510111L. Slavik2.0071112133WSep 6 · 06:45T. Krenek1.73119119133D. Pawlik2.00611911112WSep 6 · 05:45T. Krenek1.731111811123D. Jr2.00951113102WSep 3 · 08:44R. Benes1.919790T. Krenek1.801111113LSep 3 · 07:45T. Krenek2.00411100R. Benes1.731113123
V. Konvicka10
LAug 25 · 17:20V. Konvicka1.5311115982R. Solle2.38971111113LAug 25 · 16:10A. Kanak1.83611611173V. Konvicka1.83117118152WAug 25 · 15:10V. Konvicka1.6112119113R. Solle2.201071151WAug 25 · 13:40L. Dzida1.579640V. Konvicka2.251111113LAug 21 · 16:38A. Cizek1.531211113V. Konvicka2.3810820LAug 21 · 15:15V. Konvicka1.8363111162T. Grmela1.83111158113LAug 21 · 13:45A. Cizek1.671211123V. Konvicka2.10105100WAug 14 · 16:40V. Konvicka2.001111113K. Baros1.739990LAug 14 · 15:40L. Dzida1.831111113V. Konvicka1.835570LAug 14 · 15:10V. Reska2.2011119113V. Konvicka1.61691191
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