TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13011292
Played Aug 25Finished
Lukas Dzida
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611411––––
Vojtech Konvicka
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Dzida to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLukas Dzida above · Vojtech Konvicka below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 52 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Lukas Dzida at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Dzida 1–0 Vojtech Konvicka Vojtech Konvicka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:16What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Dzida
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Dzida 1535 vs Konvicka 1487
Dzida
Wrong
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dzida 20% vs Konvicka 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dzida 30% vs Konvicka 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dzida +1 · Konvicka -4
Konvicka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Dzida) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Konvicka form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDzida 1.57 / Konvicka 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Dzida)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13011292
Dzida1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite50% won 34 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it66% 23 of 35
Konvicka2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog51% won 41 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back20% 8 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDzida1wins
AwayKonvicka0wins
Dzida leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricDzidaKonvickaD − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.017.0+16.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDzidaKonvickaBasisWin rate · lifetime88 / 161 vs 130 / 24954.7%52.2%88 / 161 vs 130 / 249Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DzidaDzida 1.57/Konvicka 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Dzida · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Konvicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 14 · 15:40L. Dzida—1111113V. Konvicka—5570
L. Dzida10
WSep 6 · 16:44L. Dzida1.6711811123L. Lasota2.104119101LSep 6 · 15:40T. Kindl1.918111111113L. Dzida1.8011913882WSep 6 · 15:10L. Lasota1.91911991L. Dzida1.8011711113WSep 6 · 14:10L. Dzida1.73411911133T. Molin2.00118118112LSep 4 · 09:20T. Kindl2.001111911113L. Dzida1.7313611592WSep 4 · 08:15T. Kindl1.91812791L. Dzida1.80111011113WSep 4 · 07:15L. Dzida1.61101111113L. Lasota2.20128841LSep 4 · 05:45A. Cizek2.1011611113L. Dzida1.67811851LSep 3 · 08:40T. Kindl—11911113L. Dzida—911991LSep 3 · 08:10T. Kindl2.0011116113L. Dzida1.73681191
V. Konvicka10
LAug 25 · 17:20V. Konvicka1.5311115982R. Solle2.38971111113LAug 25 · 16:10A. Kanak1.83611611173V. Konvicka1.83117118152WAug 25 · 15:10V. Konvicka1.6112119113R. Solle2.201071151LAug 21 · 16:38A. Cizek1.531211113V. Konvicka2.3810820LAug 21 · 16:15T. Krenek1.5071111113V. Konvicka2.50118961LAug 21 · 15:15V. Konvicka1.8363111162T. Grmela1.83111158113LAug 21 · 13:45A. Cizek1.671211123V. Konvicka2.10105100WAug 14 · 16:40V. Konvicka2.001111113K. Baros1.739990LAug 14 · 15:40L. Dzida1.831111113V. Konvicka1.835570LAug 14 · 15:10V. Reska2.2011119113V. Konvicka1.61691191
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