TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13014295
Played Aug 25Finished
Vojtech Konvicka
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119117511911811
Radovan Solle
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:46 and never touched — 56.0% is still 56.0%
Graded at full timeRadovan Solle to win
56.0%
56.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Konvicka above · Radovan Solle below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 93 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Radovan Solle at 56.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Konvicka 1–0 Radovan Solle Radovan Solle has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:46What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Konvicka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Konvicka 1501 vs Solle 1415
Konvicka
Wrong
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Konvicka 40% vs Solle 60%
Solle
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Konvicka 30% vs Solle 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Konvicka -1 · Solle +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Konvicka) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solle form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKonvicka 1.53 / Solle 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Konvicka)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13014295
Konvicka1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 48 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it82% 32 of 39
Solle2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKonvicka1wins
AwaySolle0wins
Konvicka leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKonvickaSolleK − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match43.033.0+10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKonvickaSolleBasisWin rate · lifetime132 / 252 vs 15 / 3752.4%40.5%132 / 252 vs 15 / 37Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KonvickaKonvicka 1.53/Solle 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Konvicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Solle won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 25 · 15:10V. Konvicka—12119113R. Solle—1071151
V. Konvicka10
LAug 25 · 16:10A. Kanak1.83611611173V. Konvicka1.83117118152WAug 25 · 15:10V. Konvicka1.6112119113R. Solle2.201071151WAug 25 · 13:40L. Dzida1.579640V. Konvicka2.251111113LAug 21 · 16:38A. Cizek1.531211113V. Konvicka2.3810820LAug 21 · 16:15T. Krenek1.5071111113V. Konvicka2.50118961LAug 21 · 15:15V. Konvicka1.8363111162T. Grmela1.83111158113LAug 21 · 13:45A. Cizek1.671211123V. Konvicka2.10105100WAug 14 · 16:40V. Konvicka2.001111113K. Baros1.739990LAug 14 · 15:40L. Dzida1.831111113V. Konvicka1.835570LAug 14 · 15:10V. Reska2.2011119113V. Konvicka1.61691191
R. Solle10
WAug 25 · 20:45J. Travnicek1.5011791192R. Solle2.50911116113LAug 25 · 20:10R. Solle2.25711951I. Heuman1.5711911113WAug 25 · 18:40D. Jr1.53611101172R. Solle2.38116123113LAug 25 · 18:10J. Travnicek1.5371113113R. Solle2.381171191WAug 25 · 15:40L. Dzida1.53113991R. Solle2.3891111113LAug 25 · 15:10V. Konvicka1.6112119113R. Solle2.201071151WAug 25 · 14:10R. Solle2.2511111143A. Kanak1.579911121WAug 22 · 20:38T. Lysek1.611281111102R. Solle2.20141199123LAug 22 · 20:15R. Solle1.80511591T. Lysek1.9111311113LAug 22 · 18:45A. Cizek2.001111113R. Solle1.738680
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