TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12475261
Played Aug 22Finished
Ales Cizek
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116118––––
Radovan Solle
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadovan Solle to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAles Cizek above · Radovan Solle below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 55 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Radovan Solle at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Ales Cizek 1–0 Radovan Solle Radovan Solle has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:48What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Solle
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Cizek 1545 vs Solle 1423
Cizek
Correct
both rated, 122 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cizek 60% vs Solle 20%
Cizek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cizek 50% vs Solle 30%
Cizek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cizek +1 · Solle -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Solle)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solle form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCizek 2.00 / Solle 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Solle)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #12475261
Cizek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 64 of 154
Down 0–1, comes back18% 15 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 45
Solle1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeCizek1wins
AwaySolle0wins
Cizek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricCizekSolleC − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match48.041.0+7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCizekSolleBasisWin rate · lifetime211 / 431 vs 12 / 3149%38.7%211 / 431 vs 12 / 31Avg sets wonper match2.11.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.936.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SolleCizek 2.00/Solle 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Solle · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Cizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 22 · 14:45A. Cizek—14911143R. Solle—12116121
A. Cizek10
WSep 5 · 20:58K. Kleprlik1.53118581A. Cizek2.3871111113LSep 5 · 19:45K. Kleprlik1.611111113A. Cizek2.208670LSep 5 · 19:15I. Heuman1.73128116183A. Cizek2.001011611162LSep 5 · 18:15A. Cizek1.571010111192T. Lysek2.25121259113LSep 4 · 08:48A. Cizek1.5381341242L. Lasota2.3811111110113WSep 4 · 07:45A. Cizek1.80911711113L. Lasota1.9111611472LSep 4 · 06:45A. Cizek2.001112491T. Kindl1.7381411113WSep 4 · 05:45A. Cizek2.1011611113L. Dzida1.67811851LSep 2 · 20:48D. Skulina1.671311113A. Cizek2.1011480LSep 2 · 19:45D. Skulina2.101111123A. Cizek1.6749100
R. Solle10
WAug 25 · 20:45J. Travnicek1.5011791192R. Solle2.50911116113LAug 25 · 20:10R. Solle2.25711951I. Heuman1.5711911113WAug 25 · 18:40D. Jr1.53611101172R. Solle2.38116123113LAug 25 · 18:10J. Travnicek1.5371113113R. Solle2.381171191WAug 25 · 17:20V. Konvicka1.5311115982R. Solle2.38971111113WAug 25 · 15:40L. Dzida1.53113991R. Solle2.3891111113LAug 25 · 15:10V. Konvicka1.6112119113R. Solle2.201071151WAug 25 · 14:10R. Solle2.2511111143A. Kanak1.579911121WAug 22 · 20:38T. Lysek1.611281111102R. Solle2.20141199123LAug 22 · 20:15R. Solle1.80511591T. Lysek1.9111311113
Upcoming Matches
A. Cizek
R. Solle
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