TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12475271
Played Aug 22Finished
Radovan Solle
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511113511911––
Tomas Lysek
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadovan Solle to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRadovan Solle above · Tomas Lysek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 66 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Radovan Solle at 54.0%
66 points played in total.
H2H Radovan Solle 0–1 Tomas Lysek Radovan Solle has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:46What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Solle
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Solle 1384 vs Lysek 1487
Lysek
Correct
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Solle 20% vs Lysek 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Solle 20% vs Lysek 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Solle -2 · Lysek -4
Lysek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Solle)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysek form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSolle 1.80 / Lysek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Solle)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #12475271
Solle1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Lysek1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 18 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back12% 2 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSolle0wins
AwayLysek1wins
Lysek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSolleLysekS − LBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match30.036.0−6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSolleLysekBasisWin rate · lifetime12 / 33 vs 114 / 21236.4%53.8%12 / 33 vs 114 / 212Avg sets wonper match1.62.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.438.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SolleSolle 1.80/Lysek 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Solle · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lysek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 22 · 20:15R. Solle—511591T. Lysek—11311113
R. Solle10
WAug 25 · 20:45J. Travnicek1.5011791192R. Solle2.50911116113LAug 25 · 20:10R. Solle2.25711951I. Heuman1.5711911113WAug 25 · 18:40D. Jr1.53611101172R. Solle2.38116123113LAug 25 · 18:10J. Travnicek1.5371113113R. Solle2.381171191WAug 25 · 17:20V. Konvicka1.5311115982R. Solle2.38971111113WAug 25 · 15:40L. Dzida1.53113991R. Solle2.3891111113LAug 25 · 15:10V. Konvicka1.6112119113R. Solle2.201071151WAug 25 · 14:10R. Solle2.2511111143A. Kanak1.579911121WAug 22 · 20:38T. Lysek1.611281111102R. Solle2.20141199123LAug 22 · 18:45A. Cizek2.001111113R. Solle1.738680
T. Lysek10
WSep 5 · 21:30I. Heuman2.639740T. Lysek1.441111113WSep 5 · 20:15T. Lysek2.208111011153I. Heuman1.61119129132LSep 5 · 18:45K. Kleprlik1.53111176133T. Lysek2.38571111112WSep 5 · 18:15A. Cizek1.571010111192T. Lysek2.25121259113WSep 5 · 16:45L. Kantor1.8091161162T. Lysek1.90118118113LSep 5 · 16:15J. Volny1.8311711113T. Lysek1.83911981LSep 5 · 15:15T. Lysek1.80118511102A. Kanak1.91711118123LSep 5 · 13:45L. Kantor2.0011117123T. Lysek1.737611101WAug 28 · 17:10O. Kus2.107690T. Lysek1.671111113LAug 22 · 20:38T. Lysek1.611281111102R. Solle2.20141199123
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