TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13011613
Played Aug 25Finished
Jakub Travnicek
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
7111171311119––
Radovan Solle
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Travnicek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Travnicek above · Radovan Solle below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 80 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Jakub Travnicek at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Travnicek 1–0 Radovan Solle Radovan Solle has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:47What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Travnicek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Travnicek 1540 vs Solle 1423
Travnicek
Correct
both rated, 117 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Travnicek 40% vs Solle 80%
Solle
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Travnicek 50% vs Solle 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Travnicek -2 · Solle +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Travnicek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solle form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTravnicek 1.53 / Solle 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Travnicek)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13011613
Travnicek1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite43% won 34 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it72% 26 of 36
Solle2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeTravnicek1wins
AwaySolle0wins
Travnicek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricTravnicekSolleT − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match42.038.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTravnicekSolleBasisWin rate · lifetime183 / 375 vs 17 / 4148.8%41.5%183 / 375 vs 17 / 41Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.636.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TravnicekTravnicek 1.53/Solle 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.6%
Travnicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Travnicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 25 · 18:10J. Travnicek—71113113R. Solle—1171191
J. Travnicek10
LSep 6 · 21:20M. Macurak1.7041111113J. Travnicek1.96114991WSep 6 · 20:10J. Travnicek1.731191112113P. Marsalek2.0091181462WSep 6 · 18:40D. Skulina1.674770J. Travnicek2.101111113LSep 6 · 18:10M. Macurak1.7311101112153J. Travnicek2.00312614132WSep 4 · 20:38J. Travnicek1.731111133I. Heuman2.0099110LSep 4 · 20:15K. Kleprlik1.671111113J. Travnicek2.108590LSep 4 · 19:15J. Travnicek2.25751611102D. Skulina1.571111148123WSep 4 · 17:45I. Heuman2.00811961J. Travnicek1.7311611113LSep 2 · 21:20J. Travnicek1.6761070I. Heuman2.101112113WSep 2 · 20:15I. Heuman2.003119101J. Travnicek1.7311711123
R. Solle10
WAug 25 · 20:45J. Travnicek1.5011791192R. Solle2.50911116113LAug 25 · 20:10R. Solle2.25711951I. Heuman1.5711911113WAug 25 · 18:40D. Jr1.53611101172R. Solle2.38116123113WAug 25 · 17:20V. Konvicka1.5311115982R. Solle2.38971111113WAug 25 · 15:40L. Dzida1.53113991R. Solle2.3891111113LAug 25 · 15:10V. Konvicka1.6112119113R. Solle2.201071151WAug 25 · 14:10R. Solle2.2511111143A. Kanak1.579911121WAug 22 · 20:38T. Lysek1.611281111102R. Solle2.20141199123LAug 22 · 20:15R. Solle1.80511591T. Lysek1.9111311113LAug 22 · 18:45A. Cizek2.001111113R. Solle1.738680
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