TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13012902
Played Aug 25Finished
Lukas Dzida
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119311911911––
Radovan Solle
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:27 and never touched — 67.8% is still 67.8%
Graded at full timeLukas Dzida to win
67.8%
67.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLukas Dzida above · Radovan Solle below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 74 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Lukas Dzida at 67.8%
74 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Dzida 1–1 Radovan Solle Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:27What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Dzida
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Dzida 1508 vs Solle 1408
Dzida
Wrong
both rated, 100 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dzida 20% vs Solle 40%
Solle
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dzida 20% vs Solle 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dzida -2 · Solle -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Dzida) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dzida form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDzida 1.53 / Solle 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Dzida)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13012902
Dzida1.53
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 34 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it66% 23 of 35
Solle2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeDzida1wins
AwaySolle1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricDzidaSolleD − SBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match38.041.5−3.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDzidaSolleBasisWin rate · lifetime88 / 163 vs 14 / 3654%38.9%88 / 163 vs 14 / 36Avg sets wonper match2.11.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.635.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DzidaDzida 1.53/Solle 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Dzida · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Solle won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 22 · 16:50L. Dzida—117941R. Solle—91111113
WAug 22 · 16:15L. Dzida—11518113R. Solle—6111681
L. Dzida10
WSep 6 · 16:44L. Dzida1.6711811123L. Lasota2.104119101LSep 6 · 15:40T. Kindl1.918111111113L. Dzida1.8011913882WSep 6 · 15:10L. Lasota1.91911991L. Dzida1.8011711113WSep 6 · 14:10L. Dzida1.73411911133T. Molin2.00118118112LSep 4 · 09:20T. Kindl2.001111911113L. Dzida1.7313611592WSep 4 · 08:15T. Kindl1.91812791L. Dzida1.80111011113WSep 4 · 07:15L. Dzida1.61101111113L. Lasota2.20128841LSep 4 · 05:45A. Cizek2.1011611113L. Dzida1.67811851LSep 3 · 08:40T. Kindl—11911113L. Dzida—911991LSep 3 · 08:10T. Kindl2.0011116113L. Dzida1.73681191
R. Solle10
WAug 25 · 20:45J. Travnicek1.5011791192R. Solle2.50911116113LAug 25 · 20:10R. Solle2.25711951I. Heuman1.5711911113WAug 25 · 18:40D. Jr1.53611101172R. Solle2.38116123113LAug 25 · 18:10J. Travnicek1.5371113113R. Solle2.381171191WAug 25 · 17:20V. Konvicka1.5311115982R. Solle2.38971111113LAug 25 · 15:10V. Konvicka1.6112119113R. Solle2.201071151WAug 25 · 14:10R. Solle2.2511111143A. Kanak1.579911121WAug 22 · 20:38T. Lysek1.611281111102R. Solle2.20141199123LAug 22 · 20:15R. Solle1.80511591T. Lysek1.9111311113LAug 22 · 18:45A. Cizek2.001111113R. Solle1.738680
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