TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13011106
Played Aug 25Finished
Radovan Solle
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191191111412––
Adam Kanak
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:16 and never touched — 54.6% is still 54.6%
Graded at full timeAdam Kanak to win
54.6%
54.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingRadovan Solle above · Adam Kanak below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 1-11
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 78 set 4, 14-12 — our read held Adam Kanak at 54.6%
78 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:16What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kanak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Solle 1400 vs Kanak 1521
Kanak
Wrong
both rated, 121 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Solle 40% vs Kanak 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Solle 20% vs Kanak 60%
Kanak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Solle +1 · Kanak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Kanak) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kanak form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSolle 2.25 / Kanak 1.57
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Kanak)+7.0pp
TT Cup · #13011106
Solle2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Kanak1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 18 of 31
Up 2–0, closes it83% 5 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it73% 11 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSolleKanakBasisWin rate · lifetime13 / 34 vs 32 / 5538.2%58.2%13 / 34 vs 32 / 55Avg sets wonper match1.62.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.039.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KanakSolle 2.25/Kanak 1.57
Miss
What we said
65.9%
Kanak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Solle won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
R. Solle10
WAug 25 · 20:45J. Travnicek1.5011791192R. Solle2.50911116113LAug 25 · 20:10R. Solle2.25711951I. Heuman1.5711911113WAug 25 · 18:40D. Jr1.53611101172R. Solle2.38116123113LAug 25 · 18:10J. Travnicek1.5371113113R. Solle2.381171191WAug 25 · 17:20V. Konvicka1.5311115982R. Solle2.38971111113WAug 25 · 15:40L. Dzida1.53113991R. Solle2.3891111113LAug 25 · 15:10V. Konvicka1.6112119113R. Solle2.201071151WAug 22 · 20:38T. Lysek1.611281111102R. Solle2.20141199123LAug 22 · 20:15R. Solle1.80511591T. Lysek1.9111311113LAug 22 · 18:45A. Cizek2.001111113R. Solle1.738680
A. Kanak10
LSep 5 · 17:13J. Volny2.2071A. Kanak1.6140LSep 5 · 15:45L. Kantor2.20151181133A. Kanak1.611381111112WSep 5 · 15:15T. Lysek1.80118511102A. Kanak1.91711118123WSep 5 · 14:15A. Kanak1.7314715113J. Volny2.0012111381WSep 4 · 16:35A. Kanak1.801211113V. Reska1.9110450LSep 4 · 15:40A. Kanak1.676980J. Volny2.101111113WSep 4 · 14:40A. Kanak1.53771111113K. Baros2.3811118892WSep 4 · 13:40A. Kanak1.679111110113V. Reska2.1011871272LSep 1 · 21:15J. Travnicek1.61117611113A. Kanak2.2091111972WSep 1 · 20:15A. Kanak1.571211123D. Branny2.25109100
Upcoming Matches
R. Solle
Nothing scheduled
A. Kanak
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