TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12431468
Played Aug 14Finished
Vladislav Reska
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116119911119––
Vojtech Konvicka
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:01 and never touched — 62.7% is still 62.7%
Graded at full timeVojtech Konvicka to win
62.7%
62.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVladislav Reska above · Vojtech Konvicka below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 77 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Vojtech Konvicka at 62.7%
77 points played in total.
H2H Vladislav Reska 2–6 Vojtech Konvicka Vladislav Reska has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:01What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Konvicka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-6 in 8
Konvicka
Wrong
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Reska 1503 vs Konvicka 1558
Konvicka
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Reska 40% vs Konvicka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Reska 50% vs Konvicka 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Reska -3 · Konvicka +1
Reska
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Konvicka) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Konvicka form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsReska 2.20 / Konvicka 1.61
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Konvicka)+3.0pp
TT Cup · #12431468
Reska2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 61 of 135
Down 0–1, comes back21% 13 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 33
Konvicka1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 49 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it83% 33 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeReska2wins
AwayKonvicka6wins
3 of 8 to a deciderKonvicka leads 6–2, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeReska40%2 of 5
AwayKonvicka100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Reska5Konvicka3n = 8Reska took 5 of 8
S2Reska4Konvicka4n = 8split evenly
S3Reska3Konvicka5n = 8Konvicka took 5 of 8
S4Reska1Konvicka4n = 5Konvicka took 4 of 5
S5Reska0Konvicka3n = 3Konvicka took 3 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away338%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricReskaKonvickaR − KBasisWins26−4in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match35.838.8−3.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricReskaKonvickaBasisWin rate · lifetime210 / 425 vs 130 / 24549.4%53.1%210 / 425 vs 130 / 245Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KonvickaReska 2.20/Konvicka 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.7%
Konvicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Reska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 14 · 15:10V. Reska—11119113V. Konvicka—691191
LAug 8 · 10:10V. Reska—71060V. Konvicka—1112113
LMar 7 · 11:10V. Reska—6680V. Konvicka—1111113
LJan 17 · 06:45V. Reska—11119792V. Konvicka—891111113
LJan 9 · 17:50V. Reska—111149112V. Konvicka—931111133
LJan 9 · 16:45V. Reska—11911852V. Konvicka—511911113
WDec 27 · 09:50V. Reska—1111113V. Konvicka—7680
LDec 27 · 07:45V. Reska—751271V. Konvicka—111110113
V. Reska10
WSep 5 · 12:40V. Reska1.5313127113T. Ogrocki2.3811101121LSep 5 · 11:40V. Reska1.61871181O. Skvor2.2011116113WSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.83111178113J. Patrik1.8379111162WSep 5 · 10:40V. Reska1.85111178113P. Jokiel1.8579111162WSep 5 · 09:40V. Reska1.531111113T. Ogrocki2.388690LSep 4 · 16:35A. Kanak1.801211113V. Reska1.9110450LSep 4 · 16:10K. Baros1.611111113V. Reska2.205780LSep 4 · 15:10V. Reska2.1011115672J. Volny1.67981111113LSep 4 · 13:40A. Kanak1.679111110113V. Reska2.1011871272WSep 2 · 17:10V. Reska1.671111113O. Coufal2.105780
V. Konvicka10
LAug 25 · 17:20V. Konvicka1.5311115982R. Solle2.38971111113LAug 25 · 16:10A. Kanak1.83611611173V. Konvicka1.83117118152WAug 25 · 15:10V. Konvicka1.6112119113R. Solle2.201071151WAug 25 · 13:40L. Dzida1.579640V. Konvicka2.251111113LAug 21 · 16:38A. Cizek1.531211113V. Konvicka2.3810820LAug 21 · 16:15T. Krenek1.5071111113V. Konvicka2.50118961LAug 21 · 15:15V. Konvicka1.8363111162T. Grmela1.83111158113LAug 21 · 13:45A. Cizek1.671211123V. Konvicka2.10105100WAug 14 · 16:40V. Konvicka2.001111113K. Baros1.739990LAug 14 · 15:40L. Dzida1.831111113V. Konvicka1.835570
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