TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12431949
Played Aug 14Finished
Lukas Dzida
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115115117––––
Vojtech Konvicka
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:01 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVojtech Konvicka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLukas Dzida above · Vojtech Konvicka below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 50 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Vojtech Konvicka at 54.0%
50 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:01What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Konvicka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Dzida 1567 vs Konvicka 1527
Dzida
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dzida 20% vs Konvicka 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dzida 30% vs Konvicka 50%
Konvicka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dzida -1 · Konvicka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Konvicka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Konvicka form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDzida 1.83 / Konvicka 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Konvicka)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12431949
Dzida1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Konvicka1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricDzidaKonvickaBasisWin rate · lifetime76 / 134 vs 129 / 24356.7%53.1%76 / 134 vs 129 / 243Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KonvickaDzida 1.83/Konvicka 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Konvicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Dzida won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Dzida10
WSep 6 · 16:44L. Dzida1.6711811123L. Lasota2.104119101LSep 6 · 15:40T. Kindl1.918111111113L. Dzida1.8011913882WSep 6 · 15:10L. Lasota1.91911991L. Dzida1.8011711113WSep 6 · 14:10L. Dzida1.73411911133T. Molin2.00118118112LSep 4 · 09:20T. Kindl2.001111911113L. Dzida1.7313611592WSep 4 · 08:15T. Kindl1.91812791L. Dzida1.80111011113WSep 4 · 07:15L. Dzida1.61101111113L. Lasota2.20128841LSep 4 · 05:45A. Cizek2.1011611113L. Dzida1.67811851LSep 3 · 08:40T. Kindl—11911113L. Dzida—911991LSep 3 · 08:10T. Kindl2.0011116113L. Dzida1.73681191
V. Konvicka10
LAug 25 · 17:20V. Konvicka1.5311115982R. Solle2.38971111113LAug 25 · 16:10A. Kanak1.83611611173V. Konvicka1.83117118152WAug 25 · 15:10V. Konvicka1.6112119113R. Solle2.201071151WAug 25 · 13:40L. Dzida1.579640V. Konvicka2.251111113LAug 21 · 16:38A. Cizek1.531211113V. Konvicka2.3810820LAug 21 · 16:15T. Krenek1.5071111113V. Konvicka2.50118961LAug 21 · 15:15V. Konvicka1.8363111162T. Grmela1.83111158113LAug 21 · 13:45A. Cizek1.671211123V. Konvicka2.10105100WAug 14 · 16:40V. Konvicka2.001111113K. Baros1.739990LAug 14 · 15:10V. Reska2.2011119113V. Konvicka1.61691191
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