TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13012834
Played Aug 25Finished
Adam Kanak
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6111176111181715
Vojtech Konvicka
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Kanak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Kanak above · Vojtech Konvicka below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 17-15
Point 103 set 5, 17-15 — our read held Adam Kanak at 54.0%
103 points played in total.
H2H Adam Kanak 0–1 Vojtech Konvicka Adam Kanak has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:08What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Konvicka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kanak 1517 vs Konvicka 1511
Kanak
Correct
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanak 60% vs Konvicka 40%
Kanak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanak 50% vs Konvicka 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanak +1 · Konvicka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kanak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Konvicka form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanak 1.83 / Konvicka 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kanak)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13012834
Kanak1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Konvicka1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKanak0wins
AwayKonvicka1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderKonvicka leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKanakKonvickaKanak − KonvickaBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match44.043.0+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKanakKonvickaBasisWin rate · lifetime33 / 57 vs 132 / 25157.9%52.6%33 / 57 vs 132 / 251Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KanakKanak 1.83/Konvicka 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kanak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kanak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 10 · 13:40A. Kanak—11581192V. Konvicka—711113113
A. Kanak10
LSep 5 · 17:13J. Volny2.2071A. Kanak1.6140LSep 5 · 15:45L. Kantor2.20151181133A. Kanak1.611381111112WSep 5 · 15:15T. Lysek1.80118511102A. Kanak1.91711118123WSep 5 · 14:15A. Kanak1.7314715113J. Volny2.0012111381WSep 4 · 16:35A. Kanak1.801211113V. Reska1.9110450LSep 4 · 15:40A. Kanak1.676980J. Volny2.101111113WSep 4 · 14:40A. Kanak1.53771111113K. Baros2.3811118892WSep 4 · 13:40A. Kanak1.679111110113V. Reska2.1011871272LSep 1 · 21:15J. Travnicek1.61117611113A. Kanak2.2091111972WSep 1 · 20:15A. Kanak1.571211123D. Branny2.25109100
V. Konvicka10
LAug 25 · 17:20V. Konvicka1.5311115982R. Solle2.38971111113WAug 25 · 15:10V. Konvicka1.6112119113R. Solle2.201071151WAug 25 · 13:40L. Dzida1.579640V. Konvicka2.251111113LAug 21 · 16:38A. Cizek1.531211113V. Konvicka2.3810820LAug 21 · 16:15T. Krenek1.5071111113V. Konvicka2.50118961LAug 21 · 15:15V. Konvicka1.8363111162T. Grmela1.83111158113LAug 21 · 13:45A. Cizek1.671211123V. Konvicka2.10105100WAug 14 · 16:40V. Konvicka2.001111113K. Baros1.739990LAug 14 · 15:40L. Dzida1.831111113V. Konvicka1.835570LAug 14 · 15:10V. Reska2.2011119113V. Konvicka1.61691191
Upcoming Matches
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