TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13029027
Played Aug 27Finished
Tomas Grmela
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
12105119111012––
Jan Krupnik
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Grmela to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Grmela above · Jan Krupnik below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 80 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Tomas Grmela at 54.0%
80 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Grmela 0–1 Jan Krupnik Tomas Grmela has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:08What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Krupnik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Grmela 1643 vs Krupnik 1569
Grmela
Wrong
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grmela 80% vs Krupnik 60%
Grmela
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grmela 70% vs Krupnik 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Grmela +3 · Krupnik +1
Grmela
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krupnik) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grmela form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrmela 1.91 / Krupnik 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krupnik)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13029027
Grmela1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 11 of 23
Down 0–1, comes back20% 2 of 10
Krupnik1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 148 of 272
Up 2–0, closes it96% 71 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it73% 109 of 150
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeGrmela0wins
AwayKrupnik1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderKrupnik leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricGrmelaKrupnikG − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match38.048.0−10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrmelaKrupnikBasisWin rate · lifetime17 / 36 vs 414 / 81247.2%51%17 / 36 vs 414 / 812Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.639.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrupnikGrmela 1.91/Krupnik 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Krupnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krupnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 3 · 06:40T. Grmela—51151162J. Krupnik—118117113
T. Grmela10
WAug 27 · 20:45D. Vitasek2.0012560T. Grmela1.731411113LAug 27 · 19:45F. Chaloupka1.731111113T. Grmela2.004770LAug 27 · 19:15D. Vitasek2.25111245113T. Grmela1.57810111192WAug 27 · 16:47T. Grmela1.83121183113K. Kleprlik1.83109111152WAug 27 · 16:15T. Grmela2.2071114123K. Kleprlik1.6111912101WAug 27 · 14:45J. Skvrna1.5012811542T. Grmela2.501011911113LAug 27 · 14:15T. Krenek1.57111110113T. Grmela2.25971261WAug 21 · 17:10T. Krenek1.43812100T. Grmela2.501114123WAug 21 · 15:45A. Cizek1.83712591T. Grmela1.83111011113WAug 21 · 15:15V. Konvicka1.8363111162T. Grmela1.83111158113
J. Krupnik10
WSep 5 · 12:40J. Krupnik1.3611711113E. Precek3.00911261LSep 5 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.67111177113J. Krupnik2.1069111152WSep 5 · 11:15E. Precek2.107515101J. Krupnik1.67111113123LSep 5 · 10:15J. Krupnik1.91611751M. Macurak1.8011611113WSep 4 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.83931151J. Krupnik1.8311119113LSep 4 · 11:40R. Sedlacek1.9112143113J. Krupnik1.8010121141WSep 4 · 11:10J. Przybyla2.20611981J. Krupnik1.6111711113WSep 4 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.5711116113D. Jr2.25851181LSep 4 · 09:40M. Macurak1.77611911113J. Krupnik1.8711811882LSep 4 · 09:09M. Macurak1.91611911113J. Krupnik1.8011811882
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