TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13029203
Played Aug 27Finished
Frantisek Chaloupka
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114117117––––
Tomas Grmela
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:19 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Chaloupka to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingFrantisek Chaloupka above · Tomas Grmela below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 51 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Frantisek Chaloupka at 54.3%
51 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:19What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Chaloupka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Chaloupka 1714 vs Grmela 1627
Chaloupka
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chaloupka 40% vs Grmela 60%
Grmela
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chaloupka 60% vs Grmela 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chaloupka -1 · Grmela -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chaloupka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chaloupka form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChaloupka 1.73 / Grmela 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Chaloupka)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13029203
Chaloupka1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 106 of 194
Up 2–0, closes it96% 72 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it74% 93 of 126
Grmela2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 11 of 23
Down 0–1, comes back20% 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricChaloupkaGrmelaBasisWin rate · lifetime248 / 475 vs 17 / 3852.2%44.7%248 / 475 vs 17 / 38Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.536.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChaloupkaChaloupka 1.73/Grmela 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Chaloupka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Chaloupka won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
F. Chaloupka10
LSep 6 · 08:53F. Chaloupka3.0081151172B. Moravec1.36117114113LSep 6 · 08:10F. Chaloupka1.911111711112D. Stusek1.80913119133WSep 6 · 06:40B. Moravec1.4436111172F. Chaloupka2.63111159113LSep 6 · 06:10J. Gembala1.831111113F. Chaloupka1.831880LSep 4 · 16:39F. Chaloupka1.615131291K. Kleprlik2.20111114113LSep 4 · 15:45F. Chaloupka2.201111581J. Skvrna1.6113911113LSep 4 · 14:45F. Chaloupka1.73411148102D. Skulina2.001131211123WSep 4 · 13:45F. Chaloupka1.83111169113K. Kleprlik1.8339111172LSep 1 · 17:09J. Gembala1.9112118113F. Chaloupka1.801091171LSep 1 · 16:10F. Chaloupka1.67117581D. Skulina2.1091111113
T. Grmela10
WAug 27 · 20:45D. Vitasek2.0012560T. Grmela1.731411113LAug 27 · 19:15D. Vitasek2.25111245113T. Grmela1.57810111192LAug 27 · 18:15T. Grmela1.911259101J. Krupnik1.80101111123WAug 27 · 16:47T. Grmela1.83121183113K. Kleprlik1.83109111152WAug 27 · 16:15T. Grmela2.2071114123K. Kleprlik1.6111912101WAug 27 · 14:45J. Skvrna1.5012811542T. Grmela2.501011911113LAug 27 · 14:15T. Krenek1.57111110113T. Grmela2.25971261WAug 21 · 17:10T. Krenek1.43812100T. Grmela2.501114123WAug 21 · 15:45A. Cizek1.83712591T. Grmela1.83111011113WAug 21 · 15:15V. Konvicka1.8363111162T. Grmela1.83111158113
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