TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13029260
Played Aug 27Finished
Daniel Vitasek
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181210411511119
Tomas Grmela
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:39 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeTomas Grmela to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDaniel Vitasek above · Tomas Grmela below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 92 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Tomas Grmela at 57.7%
92 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Vitasek 1–1 Tomas Grmela Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:39What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Grmela
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vitasek 1578 vs Grmela 1588
Grmela
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vitasek 60% vs Grmela 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vitasek 40% vs Grmela 70%
Grmela
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vitasek -1 · Grmela -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Grmela) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vitasek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVitasek 2.25 / Grmela 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Grmela)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13029260
Vitasek2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 107 of 219
Down 0–1, comes back25% 31 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 66
Grmela1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeVitasek1wins
AwayGrmela1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricVitasekGrmelaV − GBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match32.041.5−9.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVitasekGrmelaBasisWin rate · lifetime288 / 593 vs 17 / 3948.6%43.6%288 / 593 vs 17 / 39Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.035.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrmelaVitasek 2.25/Grmela 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.7%
Grmela · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vitasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 27 · 19:15D. Vitasek—111245113T. Grmela—810111192
LJul 27 · 19:15D. Vitasek—10560T. Grmela—1211113
D. Vitasek10
WAug 30 · 09:20K. Kleprlik1.837111381D. Vitasek1.8311815113WAug 30 · 07:45E. Precek1.8011613111D. Vitasek1.9181115133WAug 30 · 07:15L. Dzida2.00991151D. Vitasek1.7311113113LAug 30 · 06:15D. Vitasek1.80791251K. Kleprlik1.91111110113LAug 28 · 20:35J. Gembala1.301111113D. Vitasek3.408260LAug 28 · 20:10D. Vitasek1.804480T. Kindl1.911111113WAug 28 · 18:40J. Gembala1.4411101191D. Vitasek2.6391213113LAug 28 · 18:10F. Chaloupka1.44151110113D. Vitasek2.631361281LAug 27 · 20:45D. Vitasek2.0012560T. Grmela1.731411113WAug 27 · 20:15J. Krupnik1.83511541D. Vitasek1.8311611113
T. Grmela10
WAug 27 · 20:45D. Vitasek2.0012560T. Grmela1.731411113LAug 27 · 19:45F. Chaloupka1.731111113T. Grmela2.004770LAug 27 · 18:15T. Grmela1.911259101J. Krupnik1.80101111123WAug 27 · 16:47T. Grmela1.83121183113K. Kleprlik1.83109111152WAug 27 · 16:15T. Grmela2.2071114123K. Kleprlik1.6111912101WAug 27 · 14:45J. Skvrna1.5012811542T. Grmela2.501011911113LAug 27 · 14:15T. Krenek1.57111110113T. Grmela2.25971261WAug 21 · 17:10T. Krenek1.43812100T. Grmela2.501114123WAug 21 · 15:45A. Cizek1.83712591T. Grmela1.83111011113WAug 21 · 15:15V. Konvicka1.8363111162T. Grmela1.83111158113
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