TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13029451
Played Aug 27Finished
Jan Krupnik
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511116511411––
Daniel Vitasek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Krupnik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Krupnik above · Daniel Vitasek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 64 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Jan Krupnik at 54.0%
64 points played in total.
H2H Jan Krupnik 18–21 Daniel Vitasek Jan Krupnik has won 18 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:33What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Vitasek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-21 in 39
Vitasek
Correct
gap of 3 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krupnik 1586 vs Vitasek 1591
Vitasek
Correct
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krupnik 60% vs Vitasek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krupnik 70% vs Vitasek 50%
Krupnik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krupnik +3 · Vitasek +1
Krupnik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krupnik)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrupnik 1.83 / Vitasek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Krupnik)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13029451
Krupnik1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Vitasek1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrupnik6wins
AwayVitasek4wins
Krupnik leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrupnik50%3 of 6
AwayVitasek25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krupnik6Vitasek4n = 10Krupnik took 6 of 10
S2Krupnik6Vitasek4n = 10Krupnik took 6 of 10
S3Krupnik3Vitasek7n = 10Vitasek took 7 of 10
S4Krupnik6Vitasek3n = 9Krupnik took 6 of 9
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrupnikVitasekK − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.136.5+1.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrupnikVitasekBasisWin rate · lifetime416 / 815 vs 289 / 59451%48.7%416 / 815 vs 289 / 594Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrupnikKrupnik 1.83/Vitasek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Krupnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vitasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 8 · 21:10J. Krupnik—119961D. Vitasek—51111113
LAug 8 · 20:15J. Krupnik—9870D. Vitasek—1111113
WAug 2 · 19:15J. Krupnik—111110113D. Vitasek—761281
LAug 1 · 20:15J. Krupnik—1196101D. Vitasek—61111123
WJul 26 · 08:10J. Krupnik—71111123D. Vitasek—1157101
WJul 11 · 19:45J. Krupnik—121113123D. Vitasek—14711101
WJul 3 · 19:10J. Krupnik—11118113D. Vitasek—971161
LMay 30 · 20:10J. Krupnik—117861D. Vitasek—61111113
WMay 25 · 06:10J. Krupnik—51111113D. Vitasek—119881
WMay 22 · 19:40J. Krupnik—12119113D. Vitasek—1081191
J. Krupnik10
WSep 5 · 12:40J. Krupnik1.3611711113E. Precek3.00911261LSep 5 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.67111177113J. Krupnik2.1069111152WSep 5 · 11:15E. Precek2.107515101J. Krupnik1.67111113123LSep 5 · 10:15J. Krupnik1.91611751M. Macurak1.8011611113WSep 4 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.83931151J. Krupnik1.8311119113LSep 4 · 11:40R. Sedlacek1.9112143113J. Krupnik1.8010121141WSep 4 · 11:10J. Przybyla2.20611981J. Krupnik1.6111711113WSep 4 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.5711116113D. Jr2.25851181LSep 4 · 09:40M. Macurak1.77611911113J. Krupnik1.8711811882LSep 4 · 09:09M. Macurak1.91611911113J. Krupnik1.8011811882
D. Vitasek10
WAug 30 · 09:20K. Kleprlik1.837111381D. Vitasek1.8311815113WAug 30 · 07:45E. Precek1.8011613111D. Vitasek1.9181115133WAug 30 · 07:15L. Dzida2.00991151D. Vitasek1.7311113113LAug 30 · 06:15D. Vitasek1.80791251K. Kleprlik1.91111110113LAug 28 · 20:35J. Gembala1.301111113D. Vitasek3.408260LAug 28 · 20:10D. Vitasek1.804480T. Kindl1.911111113WAug 28 · 18:40J. Gembala1.4411101191D. Vitasek2.6391213113LAug 28 · 18:10F. Chaloupka1.44151110113D. Vitasek2.631361281LAug 27 · 20:45D. Vitasek2.0012560T. Grmela1.731411113WAug 27 · 19:15D. Vitasek2.25111245113T. Grmela1.57810111192
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