TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13043712
Played Aug 30Finished
Daniel Vitasek
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7119111210511––
Kamil Kleprlik
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:19 and never touched — 54.4% is still 54.4%
Graded at full timeDaniel Vitasek to win
54.4%
54.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDaniel Vitasek above · Kamil Kleprlik below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 76 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Daniel Vitasek at 54.4%
76 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Vitasek 18–10 Kamil Kleprlik Kamil Kleprlik has won 10 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:19What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Vitasek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-10 in 28
Vitasek
Wrong
gap of 8 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vitasek 1619 vs Kleprlik 1584
Vitasek
Wrong
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vitasek 20% vs Kleprlik 40%
Kleprlik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vitasek 50% vs Kleprlik 30%
Vitasek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vitasek -2 · Kleprlik -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vitasek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kleprlik form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVitasek 1.80 / Kleprlik 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vitasek)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13043712
Vitasek1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite46% won 70 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it97% 38 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it67% 53 of 79
Kleprlik1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 70 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back26% 24 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVitasek7wins
AwayKleprlik3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVitasek leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVitasek100%5 of 5
AwayKleprlik60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vitasek5Kleprlik5n = 10split evenly
S2Vitasek3Kleprlik7n = 10Kleprlik took 7 of 10
S3Vitasek8Kleprlik2n = 10Vitasek took 8 of 10
S4Vitasek5Kleprlik4n = 9Vitasek took 5 of 9
S5Vitasek3Kleprlik1n = 4Vitasek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVitasekKleprlikV − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.943.0−0.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVitasekKleprlikBasisWin rate · lifetime293 / 603 vs 241 / 48948.6%49.3%293 / 603 vs 241 / 489Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VitasekVitasek 1.80/Kleprlik 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Vitasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kleprlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 09:20D. Vitasek—11815113K. Kleprlik—7111381
LAug 30 · 06:15D. Vitasek—791251K. Kleprlik—111110113
LAug 23 · 08:15D. Vitasek—88121282K. Kleprlik—11111010113
WAug 22 · 10:15D. Vitasek—116122113K. Kleprlik—711101192
LAug 22 · 07:15D. Vitasek—7880K. Kleprlik—1111113
WAug 1 · 18:15D. Vitasek—920117163K. Kleprlik—1118911142
WAug 1 · 16:15D. Vitasek—11811143K. Kleprlik—7119121
WJul 26 · 08:40D. Vitasek—101111123K. Kleprlik—1296101
WJul 26 · 05:40D. Vitasek—11119113K. Kleprlik—771171
WJul 17 · 19:45D. Vitasek—114118113K. Kleprlik—91141182
D. Vitasek10
WAug 30 · 09:20K. Kleprlik1.837111381D. Vitasek1.8311815113WAug 30 · 07:45E. Precek1.8011613111D. Vitasek1.9181115133WAug 30 · 07:15L. Dzida2.00991151D. Vitasek1.7311113113LAug 28 · 20:35J. Gembala1.301111113D. Vitasek3.408260LAug 28 · 20:10D. Vitasek1.804480T. Kindl1.911111113WAug 28 · 18:40J. Gembala1.4411101191D. Vitasek2.6391213113LAug 28 · 18:10F. Chaloupka1.44151110113D. Vitasek2.631361281LAug 27 · 20:45D. Vitasek2.0012560T. Grmela1.731411113WAug 27 · 20:15J. Krupnik1.83511541D. Vitasek1.8311611113WAug 27 · 19:15D. Vitasek2.25111245113T. Grmela1.57810111192
K. Kleprlik10
LSep 5 · 20:58K. Kleprlik1.53118581A. Cizek2.3871111113WSep 5 · 19:45K. Kleprlik1.611111113A. Cizek2.208670WSep 5 · 18:45K. Kleprlik1.53111176133T. Lysek2.38571111112LSep 5 · 17:45K. Kleprlik2.006131291I. Heuman1.73111114113LSep 4 · 21:10D. Skulina1.5761111153K. Kleprlik2.251177131WSep 4 · 20:15K. Kleprlik1.671111113J. Travnicek2.108590WSep 4 · 18:45I. Heuman1.809111410122K. Kleprlik1.911141212143LSep 4 · 18:15D. Skulina1.6161114113K. Kleprlik2.201141291WSep 4 · 16:39F. Chaloupka1.615131291K. Kleprlik2.20111114113LAug 30 · 09:20K. Kleprlik1.837111381D. Vitasek1.8311815113
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