TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13028776
Played Aug 27Finished
Tomas Krenek
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191171012116––
Tomas Grmela
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:50 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeTomas Grmela to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Krenek above · Tomas Grmela below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 77 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Tomas Grmela at 58.5%
77 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Krenek 2–0 Tomas Grmela Tomas Grmela has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 05:50What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Krenek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Krenek 1668 vs Grmela 1613
Krenek
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krenek 40% vs Grmela 80%
Grmela
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krenek 50% vs Grmela 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krenek +1 · Grmela +3
Grmela
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Krenek) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grmela form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrenek 1.57 / Grmela 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Krenek)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13028776
Krenek1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 116 of 219
Up 2–0, closes it90% 45 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it75% 76 of 101
Grmela2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 11 of 23
Down 0–1, comes back20% 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKrenek2wins
AwayGrmela0wins
Krenek leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKrenekGrmelaK − GBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match36.026.5+9.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrenekGrmelaBasisWin rate · lifetime433 / 856 vs 14 / 3250.6%43.8%433 / 856 vs 14 / 32Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.434.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrenekKrenek 1.57/Grmela 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Krenek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Krenek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 21 · 14:15T. Krenek—11611113T. Grmela—911961
WAug 21 · 09:45T. Krenek—1111113T. Grmela—7470
T. Krenek10
WSep 6 · 13:10T. Krenek1.8613111113L. Slavik1.781111581WSep 6 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.7378100T. Krenek2.001111123LSep 6 · 11:15E. Precek2.10571112113T. Krenek1.67111181092WSep 6 · 10:15T. Krenek1.73111118163L. Slavik2.00481111142WSep 6 · 09:20D. Jr1.987590T. Krenek1.731111113LSep 6 · 07:45T. Krenek1.7311510111L. Slavik2.0071112133WSep 6 · 06:45T. Krenek1.73119119133D. Pawlik2.00611911112WSep 6 · 05:45T. Krenek1.731111811123D. Jr2.00951113102WSep 3 · 08:44R. Benes1.919790T. Krenek1.801111113LSep 3 · 07:45T. Krenek2.00411100R. Benes1.731113123
T. Grmela10
WAug 27 · 20:45D. Vitasek2.0012560T. Grmela1.731411113LAug 27 · 19:45F. Chaloupka1.731111113T. Grmela2.004770LAug 27 · 19:15D. Vitasek2.25111245113T. Grmela1.57810111192LAug 27 · 18:15T. Grmela1.911259101J. Krupnik1.80101111123WAug 27 · 16:47T. Grmela1.83121183113K. Kleprlik1.83109111152WAug 27 · 16:15T. Grmela2.2071114123K. Kleprlik1.6111912101WAug 27 · 14:45J. Skvrna1.5012811542T. Grmela2.501011911113WAug 21 · 17:10T. Krenek1.43812100T. Grmela2.501114123WAug 21 · 15:45A. Cizek1.83712591T. Grmela1.83111011113WAug 21 · 15:15V. Konvicka1.8363111162T. Grmela1.83111158113
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