TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12287413
Played Jul 23Finished
Kamil Kleprlik
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111195111513511
Michal Mikolasik
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:40 and never touched — 62.2% is still 62.2%
Graded at full timeKamil Kleprlik to win
62.2%
62.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKamil Kleprlik above · Michal Mikolasik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 15-13
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 100 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Kamil Kleprlik at 62.2%
100 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:40What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Mikolasik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kleprlik 1685 vs Mikolasik 1606
Kleprlik
Wrong
both rated, 79 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kleprlik 80% vs Mikolasik 40%
Kleprlik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kleprlik 60% vs Mikolasik 40%
Kleprlik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kleprlik +3 · Mikolasik +2
Kleprlik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mikolasik) · live re-read · sealed at 38% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mikolasik form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKleprlik 2.00 / Mikolasik 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Mikolasik)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #12287413
Kleprlik2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog50% won 68 of 136
Down 0–1, comes back35% 28 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Mikolasik1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKleprlikMikolasikBasisWin rate · lifetime205 / 403 vs 16 / 2650.9%61.5%205 / 403 vs 16 / 26Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.839.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MikolasikKleprlik 2.00/Mikolasik 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Mikolasik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mikolasik won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
K. Kleprlik10
LSep 5 · 20:58K. Kleprlik1.53118581A. Cizek2.3871111113WSep 5 · 19:45K. Kleprlik1.611111113A. Cizek2.208670WSep 5 · 18:45K. Kleprlik1.53111176133T. Lysek2.38571111112LSep 5 · 17:45K. Kleprlik2.006131291I. Heuman1.73111114113LSep 4 · 21:10D. Skulina1.5761111153K. Kleprlik2.251177131WSep 4 · 20:15K. Kleprlik1.671111113J. Travnicek2.108590WSep 4 · 18:45I. Heuman1.809111410122K. Kleprlik1.911141212143LSep 4 · 18:15D. Skulina1.6161114113K. Kleprlik2.201141291WSep 4 · 16:39F. Chaloupka1.615131291K. Kleprlik2.20111114113WSep 4 · 16:15D. Skulina1.6196100K. Kleprlik2.201111123
M. Mikolasik10
LJul 30 · 16:59J. Pribyl1.671211113M. Mikolasik2.1010640WJul 30 · 15:45M. Mikolasik1.7381113113D. Jr2.001151181LJul 30 · 14:45M. Mikolasik1.8312128272M. Moravek1.8310101111113LJul 30 · 14:45M. Mikolasik1.8512128272M. Moravec1.8510101111113LJul 30 · 13:45M. Mikolasik1.83611120J. Pribyl1.831113143LJul 23 · 17:25M. Mikolasik1.705660K. Kleprlik1.961111113WJul 23 · 15:15M. Mikolasik2.201111113J. Lisztwan1.618960WJul 23 · 13:45B. Moravec1.8058111332M. Mikolasik1.911111811113LMay 22 · 16:40R. Benes1.50101112113M. Mikolasik2.501261051LMay 22 · 15:40B. Moravec2.00811711113M. Mikolasik1.7311811972
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