TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12093759
Played Jun 24Finished
Rene Kowal
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181012115117––
Jan Lisztwan
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingRene Kowal above · Jan Lisztwan below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 75 set 4, 11-7
75 points played in total.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kowal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lisztwan form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKowal 1.83 / Lisztwan 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kowal)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12093759
Kowal1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Lisztwan1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKowalLisztwanBasisWin rate · lifetime110 / 216 vs 39 / 6050.9%65%110 / 216 vs 39 / 60Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.239.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KowalKowal 1.83/Lisztwan 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kowal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kowal won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
R. Kowal10
WAug 31 · 20:45P. Vicherek2.008880R. Kowal1.731111113LAug 31 · 20:15A. Baros2.1011117113R. Kowal1.67961141LAug 31 · 19:15R. Kowal1.7367100P. Vicherek2.001111123LAug 31 · 17:45R. Niezgoda1.5311119113R. Kowal2.38681181LAug 26 · 20:45R. Kowal1.531111641A. Vitasek2.3813811113WAug 26 · 20:15R. Kowal1.8391111113A. Vitasek1.83116861LAug 26 · 18:45R. Niezgoda1.5311119113R. Kowal2.38941191LAug 26 · 18:15A. Baros2.101181111113R. Kowal1.6791113292LAug 10 · 21:10R. Niezgoda1.5341111113R. Kowal2.38112541WAug 10 · 20:10A. Baros2.10841151R. Kowal1.6711115113
J. Lisztwan10
WSep 8 · 19:45D. Skulina2.0012870J. Lisztwan1.731411113LSep 8 · 19:15A. Cizek2.381141111113J. Lisztwan1.5371151372LSep 8 · 18:15J. Lisztwan1.831061151J. Krupnik1.8312119113WJul 23 · 16:55B. Moravec1.73811841J. Lisztwan2.0011611113LJul 23 · 15:45B. Moravec2.001111113J. Lisztwan1.737740LJul 23 · 15:15M. Mikolasik2.201111113J. Lisztwan1.618960LJul 23 · 14:15J. Lisztwan1.5010131181K. Kleprlik2.5012157113LJul 7 · 17:15J. Lisztwan1.47911861B. Mrowetz2.3911511113WJul 7 · 15:45J. Lisztwan1.41119175113J. Krupnik2.70711151182WJul 7 · 14:45J. Lisztwan1.75111113123M. Macurak1.988915101
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