TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13091518
Played Sep 7Finished
Daniel Branny
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210118117––––
Ales Cizek
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAles Cizek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Branny above · Ales Cizek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 59 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Ales Cizek at 54.0%
59 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Branny 0–4 Ales Cizek Daniel Branny has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 09:17What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Cizek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Cizek
Wrong
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Branny 1503 vs Cizek 1503
Branny
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Branny 40% vs Cizek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Branny 40% vs Cizek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Branny -1 · Cizek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cizek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cizek form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBranny 2.10 / Cizek 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Branny)+1.8pp
TT Cup · #13091518
Branny2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 22 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back15% 5 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Cizek1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 51 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it77% 37 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeBranny0wins
AwayCizek4wins
1 of 4 to a deciderCizek leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrannyn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayCizek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Branny0Cizek4n = 4Cizek took 4 of 4
S2Branny3Cizek1n = 4Branny took 3 of 4
S3Branny2Cizek2n = 4split evenly
S4Branny0Cizek4n = 4Cizek took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away375%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricBrannyCizekB − CBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match39.045.0−6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrannyCizekBasisWin rate · lifetime168 / 325 vs 222 / 46351.7%48%168 / 325 vs 222 / 463Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrannyBranny 2.10/Cizek 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Cizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Branny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LMay 18 · 21:25D. Branny—912751A. Cizek—111011113
LMay 18 · 18:45D. Branny—10612111A. Cizek—121110133
LJan 9 · 18:40D. Branny—811881A. Cizek—11611113
LJan 3 · 20:10D. Branny—121112862A. Cizek—1461011113
D. Branny10
LSep 7 · 17:40A. Kanak1.531111113D. Branny2.384990WSep 1 · 20:45J. Przybyla1.738750D. Branny2.001111113LSep 1 · 20:15A. Kanak1.571211123D. Branny2.25109100WSep 1 · 19:15D. Branny2.0011118113J. Travnicek1.73781161LSep 1 · 17:45J. Przybyla1.67116811123D. Branny2.10611119102WAug 21 · 08:48L. Lasota1.6110760D. Branny2.201211113LAug 21 · 07:40D. Branny1.7311119772A. Kanak2.00791111113LAug 21 · 06:40D. Branny1.6111181152L. Kantor2.20116116113LAug 21 · 05:40D. Branny2.10116881L. Lasota1.6781111113WAug 19 · 20:40D. Branny1.73111111113M. Raska2.00139761
A. Cizek10
LSep 7 · 19:40A. Kanak1.731111113A. Cizek2.009860WSep 7 · 18:10A. Cizek1.7312119123T. Molin2.0010711101WSep 5 · 20:58K. Kleprlik1.53118581A. Cizek2.3871111113LSep 5 · 19:45K. Kleprlik1.611111113A. Cizek2.208670LSep 5 · 19:15I. Heuman1.73128116183A. Cizek2.001011611162LSep 5 · 18:15A. Cizek1.571010111192T. Lysek2.25121259113LSep 4 · 08:48A. Cizek1.5381341242L. Lasota2.3811111110113WSep 4 · 07:45A. Cizek1.80911711113L. Lasota1.9111611472LSep 4 · 06:45A. Cizek2.001112491T. Kindl1.7381411113WSep 4 · 05:45A. Cizek2.1011611113L. Dzida1.67811851
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