TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13091528
Played Sep 7Finished
Tomas Molin
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113119119––––
Daniel Branny
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:17 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeTomas Molin to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Molin above · Daniel Branny below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 54 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Tomas Molin at 60.5%
54 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Molin 7–2 Daniel Branny Daniel Branny has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:17What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Molin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-2 in 9
Molin
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Molin 1531 vs Branny 1517
Molin
Correct
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Molin 40% vs Branny 60%
Branny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Molin 30% vs Branny 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Molin -3 · Branny +1
Molin
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Molin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Branny form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolin 1.57 / Branny 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Molin)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13091528
Molin1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 55 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it71% 35 of 49
Branny2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 22 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back15% 5 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeMolin7wins
AwayBranny2wins
2 of 9 to a deciderMolin leads 7–2, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolin85.7%6 of 7
AwayBrannyn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molin7Branny2n = 9Molin took 7 of 9
S2Molin2Branny7n = 9Branny took 7 of 9
S3Molin6Branny3n = 9Molin took 6 of 9
S4Molin7Branny1n = 8Molin took 7 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home667%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricMolinBrannyM − BBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match42.038.3+3.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolinBrannyBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 280 vs 169 / 32652.1%51.8%146 / 280 vs 169 / 326Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.439.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MolinMolin 1.57/Branny 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Molin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Molin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 16 · 20:44T. Molin—13811133D. Branny—11119111
LAug 16 · 19:40T. Molin—11911882D. Branny—611811113
WJul 31 · 19:15T. Molin—1191183D. Branny—811961
WJul 21 · 18:45T. Molin—11711113D. Branny—611681
WJul 8 · 19:45T. Molin—161112113D. Branny—1451481
WJul 6 · 18:10T. Molin—11812113D. Branny—4111081
LJun 14 · 18:40T. Molin—5680D. Branny—1111113
WMar 4 · 15:40T. Molin—11143113D. Branny—7121161
WJan 9 · 21:10T. Molin—9151111113D. Branny—11176772
T. Molin10
LSep 7 · 21:10A. Kanak1.6781311153T. Molin2.1011114131LSep 7 · 18:40A. Kanak1.9191115113T. Molin1.801181361LSep 7 · 18:10A. Cizek1.7312119123T. Molin2.0010711101LSep 6 · 17:15T. Molin1.917128101T. Kindl1.80111011123WSep 6 · 16:10T. Molin1.83111149113L. Lasota1.8357111172WSep 6 · 14:40T. Kindl1.91813111192T. Molin1.801111913113LSep 6 · 14:10L. Dzida1.73411911133T. Molin2.00118118112WSep 2 · 16:44J. Przybyla1.801161261T. Molin1.9171114113LSep 2 · 15:45J. Przybyla1.80119514113T. Molin1.91911111272LSep 2 · 15:15K. Baros2.101111113T. Molin1.678770
D. Branny10
LSep 7 · 20:40D. Branny1.671166131A. Cizek2.1041111153WSep 7 · 19:10D. Branny2.101211113A. Cizek1.6710870LSep 7 · 17:40A. Kanak1.531111113D. Branny2.384990WSep 1 · 20:45J. Przybyla1.738750D. Branny2.001111113LSep 1 · 20:15A. Kanak1.571211123D. Branny2.25109100WSep 1 · 19:15D. Branny2.0011118113J. Travnicek1.73781161LSep 1 · 17:45J. Przybyla1.67116811123D. Branny2.10611119102WAug 21 · 08:48L. Lasota1.6110760D. Branny2.201211113LAug 21 · 07:40D. Branny1.7311119772A. Kanak2.00791111113LAug 21 · 06:40D. Branny1.6111181152L. Kantor2.20116116113
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