TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13124987
Played Sep 13Finished
Michal Moravec
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012115118911115
Radek Sedlacek
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadek Sedlacek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Moravec above · Radek Sedlacek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 93 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Radek Sedlacek at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Michal Moravec 8–4 Radek Sedlacek Radek Sedlacek has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:49What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sedlacek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-4 in 12
Moravec
Correct
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moravec 1498 vs Sedlacek 1515
Sedlacek
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moravec 60% vs Sedlacek 40%
Moravec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moravec 30% vs Sedlacek 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Moravec -1 · Sedlacek -3
Sedlacek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sedlacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sedlacek form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 1.91 / Sedlacek 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sedlacek)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13124987
Moravec1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 38 of 91
Down 0–1, comes back26% 13 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Sedlacek1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite51% won 39 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it84% 16 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it75% 27 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMoravec7wins
AwaySedlacek3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMoravec leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoravec83.3%5 of 6
AwaySedlacek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravec6Sedlacek4n = 10Moravec took 6 of 10
S2Moravec6Sedlacek4n = 10Moravec took 6 of 10
S3Moravec5Sedlacek5n = 10split evenly
S4Moravec4Sedlacek2n = 6Moravec took 4 of 6
S5Moravec3Sedlacek1n = 4Moravec took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMoravecSedlacekM − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.735.9+3.8per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecSedlacekBasisWin rate · lifetime183 / 371 vs 139 / 30449.3%45.7%183 / 371 vs 139 / 304Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.838.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SedlacekMoravec 1.91/Sedlacek 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sedlacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Moravec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 24 · 18:15M. Moravec32115881R. Sedlacek4181111113
WAug 24 · 15:45M. Moravec331111113R. Sedlacek126330
WAug 22 · 16:10M. Moravec50118911113R. Sedlacek4471111872
LAug 18 · 14:40M. Moravec2815850R. Sedlacek391711113
WJun 26 · 16:45M. Moravec361411113R. Sedlacek2012350
WJun 26 · 14:15M. Moravec5511101112113R. Sedlacek4871281472
WMay 6 · 10:10M. Moravec3851111113R. Sedlacek31117581
WApr 14 · 09:40M. Moravec50614811113R. Sedlacek49111211782
LMar 23 · 11:40M. Moravec4251191432R. Sedlacek541191112113
WMar 9 · 08:45M. Moravec331111113R. Sedlacek218850
M. Moravec10
LSep 13 · 18:40M. Macurak1.7311911113M. Moravec2.00211791WSep 13 · 18:10D. Jr1.8011119792M. Moravec1.91991111113WSep 1 · 12:39M. Moravec1.5014311153A. Cizek2.5012112131LSep 1 · 12:10M. Moravec2.007880T. Kindl1.731111113WSep 1 · 10:40A. Cizek2.109710M. Moravec1.671111113LSep 1 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.801114113M. Moravec1.9131280LSep 1 · 08:55B. Mrowetz1.111115123M. Moravec6.00913100LSep 1 · 07:45J. Krupnik1.69811128113M. Moravec1.96116101162LSep 1 · 07:15I. Heuman1.64611911113M. Moravec2.0411711562LSep 1 · 06:15M. Moravec1.981081191B. Mrowetz1.7312118113
R. Sedlacek10
LSep 13 · 19:10R. Sedlacek1.536980D. Jr2.381111113LSep 13 · 17:40M. Macurak1.611111113R. Sedlacek2.203340LSep 9 · 13:10J. Skvrna1.7312411213R. Sedlacek2.0010117191WSep 9 · 12:10R. Sedlacek1.3611117113L. Kantor3.00771171WSep 9 · 10:40J. Skvrna1.61111196112R. Sedlacek2.20941111133LSep 9 · 10:10R. Benes1.80411611113R. Sedlacek1.9111511892LSep 9 · 08:48L. Lasota1.731111113R. Sedlacek2.006830LSep 9 · 07:40R. Benes1.8012911113R. Sedlacek1.911011691LSep 9 · 07:10L. Lasota2.0011119113R. Sedlacek1.73691181LSep 9 · 06:10R. Sedlacek1.918611101D. Pawlik1.8011119123
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