TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13124952
Played Sep 13Finished
Michal Macurak
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113113114––––
Radek Sedlacek
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:49 and never touched — 61.1% is still 61.1%
Graded at full timeMichal Macurak to win
61.1%
61.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Macurak above · Radek Sedlacek below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 7-4
Point 39 set 3, 7-4 — our read held Michal Macurak at 61.1%
39 points drawn · the score is 4 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Michal Macurak 4–3 Radek Sedlacek Radek Sedlacek has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 13:49What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Macurak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Macurak 1697 vs Sedlacek 1528
Macurak
Correct
both rated, 168 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Macurak 60% vs Sedlacek 40%
Macurak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Macurak 60% vs Sedlacek 20%
Macurak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Macurak +2 · Sedlacek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Macurak)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMacurak 1.61 / Sedlacek 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Macurak)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13124952
Macurak1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 60 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it100% 30 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it76% 38 of 50
Sedlacek2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog43% won 29 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back29% 12 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMacurak4wins
AwaySedlacek3wins
2 of 7 to a deciderMacurak leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMacurak80%4 of 5
AwaySedlacekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Macurak5Sedlacek2n = 7Macurak took 5 of 7
S2Macurak4Sedlacek3n = 7Macurak took 4 of 7
S3Macurak3Sedlacek4n = 7Sedlacek took 4 of 7
S4Macurak2Sedlacek2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricMacurakSedlacekM − SBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match36.636.60.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMacurakSedlacekBasisWin rate · lifetime242 / 476 vs 139 / 30250.8%46%242 / 476 vs 139 / 302Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MacurakMacurak 1.61/Sedlacek 2.20
Hit
What we said
60.9%
Macurak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Macurak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 22 · 16:49M. Macurak42111110103R. Sedlacek29361281
LAug 22 · 13:40M. Macurak546161111102R. Sedlacek56111869123
WJul 25 · 19:40M. Macurak341211113R. Sedlacek2210660
LJun 26 · 16:15M. Macurak311151051R. Sedlacek4391112113
WJun 26 · 09:45M. Macurak341111123R. Sedlacek2477100
LJun 24 · 10:40M. Macurak1751110R. Sedlacek351111133
WMay 21 · 07:45M. Macurak44111165113R. Sedlacek4779111192
M. Macurak10
WSep 13 · 16:50R. Benes1.8365111132M. Macurak1.83111169113WSep 13 · 15:40M. Macurak1.7311119113J. Krupnik2.00741141LSep 13 · 14:40M. Macurak2.008811111R. Benes1.7311119133LSep 13 · 13:40M. Macurak1.71131112141D. Jr2.0015914163WSep 12 · 13:10M. Macurak1.701131111123D. Jr2.05911713102LSep 12 · 11:40M. Macurak2.2012970J. Pribyl1.611411113WSep 12 · 10:40M. Macurak1.831111113A. Kanak1.838780WSep 12 · 09:40M. Macurak1.531111113D. Jr2.389760WSep 11 · 12:33M. Macurak1.831111116113T. Krenek1.8361381192LSep 11 · 11:40M. Macurak1.6161111732J. Krupnik2.20117811113
R. Sedlacek10
LSep 9 · 13:10J. Skvrna1.7312411213R. Sedlacek2.0010117191WSep 9 · 12:10R. Sedlacek1.3611117113L. Kantor3.00771171WSep 9 · 10:40J. Skvrna1.61111196112R. Sedlacek2.20941111133LSep 9 · 10:10R. Benes1.80411611113R. Sedlacek1.9111511892LSep 9 · 08:48L. Lasota1.731111113R. Sedlacek2.006830LSep 9 · 07:40R. Benes1.8012911113R. Sedlacek1.911011691LSep 9 · 07:10L. Lasota2.0011119113R. Sedlacek1.73691181LSep 9 · 06:10R. Sedlacek1.918611101D. Pawlik1.8011119123LSep 7 · 20:45R. Sedlacek1.8311690J. Krupnik1.831311113LSep 7 · 20:15J. Travnicek1.8011911113R. Sedlacek1.91611651
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