TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13125701
Played Sep 13Finished
Radek Benes
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611511116119311
Michal Macurak
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingRadek Benes above · Michal Macurak below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 84 set 5, 3-11
84 points played in total.
H2H Radek Benes 19–9 Michal Macurak Michal Macurak has won 9 of their 28 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Benes beat Macurak 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Macurak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Macurak form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBenes 1.83 / Macurak 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Macurak)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13125701
Benes1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Macurak1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBenes7wins
AwayMacurak3wins
Benes leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBenes100%3 of 3
AwayMacurak42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Benes3Macurak7n = 10Macurak took 7 of 10
S2Benes6Macurak4n = 10Benes took 6 of 10
S3Benes7Macurak3n = 10Benes took 7 of 10
S4Benes6Macurak1n = 7Benes took 6 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBenesMacurakB − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.136.7+0.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBenesMacurakBasisWin rate · lifetime490 / 944 vs 241 / 47551.9%50.7%490 / 944 vs 241 / 475Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MacurakBenes 1.83/Macurak 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.4%
Macurak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Macurak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 14:40R. Benes4411119133M. Macurak388811111
WAug 23 · 21:08R. Benes4071111113M. Macurak35119781
WAug 23 · 18:10R. Benes4661414123M. Macurak45111212101
LAug 23 · 14:42R. Benes175570M. Macurak331111113
WAug 13 · 11:45R. Benes4714611163M. Macurak4412117141
WAug 9 · 15:15R. Benes4651613123M. Macurak46111411101
WAug 5 · 11:40R. Benes4291111113M. Macurak27115291
LAug 3 · 14:15R. Benes351061451M. Macurak46121112113
LAug 3 · 12:15R. Benes218760M. Macurak331111113
WJul 28 · 12:10R. Benes331111113M. Macurak208660
R. Benes10
LSep 13 · 16:10R. Benes2.0091113782D. Jr1.731131111113WSep 13 · 14:40M. Macurak2.008811111R. Benes1.7311119133LSep 13 · 14:10J. Krupnik1.66111112113R. Benes2.05691491LSep 11 · 16:45R. Benes3.255880J. Pribyl1.331111113LSep 11 · 16:15R. Benes2.2588110F. Chaloupka1.571111133LSep 11 · 14:45B. Moravec1.6711211113R. Benes2.10911771WSep 11 · 14:15J. Pribyl1.91911129122R. Benes1.801171011143LSep 10 · 08:50R. Benes1.8084100T. Grmela1.911111123LSep 10 · 08:15R. Benes1.83491111102D. Pawlik1.83111198123LSep 10 · 06:45J. Krupnik2.00741111113R. Benes1.7311113662
M. Macurak10
WSep 13 · 17:40M. Macurak1.611111113R. Sedlacek2.203340WSep 13 · 15:40M. Macurak1.7311119113J. Krupnik2.00741141LSep 13 · 14:40M. Macurak2.008811111R. Benes1.7311119133LSep 13 · 13:40M. Macurak1.71131112141D. Jr2.0015914163WSep 12 · 13:10M. Macurak1.701131111123D. Jr2.05911713102LSep 12 · 11:40M. Macurak2.2012970J. Pribyl1.611411113WSep 12 · 10:40M. Macurak1.831111113A. Kanak1.838780WSep 12 · 09:40M. Macurak1.531111113D. Jr2.389760WSep 11 · 12:33M. Macurak1.831111116113T. Krenek1.8361381192LSep 11 · 11:40M. Macurak1.6161111732J. Krupnik2.20117811113
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