Radek Benes vs Jan Pribyl 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13115963

Played Sep 11Finished

Radek Benes

Home

3.25

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 2

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

511811811––––

Jan Pribyl

Away

1.33

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 3

How it is goingRadek Benes above · Jan Pribyl below

Set 1 · 5-11

Set 2 · 8-11

Set 3 · 8-11

Point 54 set 3, 8-11

54 points played in total.

H2H Radek Benes 12–5 Jan Pribyl Jan Pribyl has won 5 of their 17 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Same sideHead to head

Same-day rematch · 3h before this match

Benes beat Pribyl 3-2.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Benes)

Decision Summary

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBenes 3.25 / Pribyl 1.33

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Benes)+24.9pp

TT Cup · #13115963

Benes3.25

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog45% won 76 of 168

Down 0–1, comes back27% 25 of 93

Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 46

Pribyl1.33

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite61% won 51 of 84

Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28

Up 1–0, closes it75% 38 of 51

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeBenes7wins

AwayPribyl3wins

2 of 10 to a deciderBenes leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeBenes100%4 of 4

AwayPribyl50%3 of 6

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Benes4Pribyl6n = 10Pribyl took 6 of 10

S2Benes4Pribyl6n = 10Pribyl took 6 of 10

S3Benes6Pribyl4n = 10Benes took 6 of 10

S4Benes6Pribyl1n = 7Benes took 6 of 7

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home440%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away220%

These 10 meetings

MetricBenesPribylB − PBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.635.6+2.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricBenesPribylBasisWin rate · lifetime489 / 940 vs 111 / 20352%54.7%489 / 940 vs 111 / 203Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.1per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Benes

Benes 3.25/Pribyl 1.33

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Benes · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Pribyl won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 11 · 14:15R. Benes—1171011143J. Pribyl—911129122

WAug 6 · 09:13R. Benes—81111113J. Pribyl—117541

WAug 6 · 06:10R. Benes—811811133J. Pribyl—116119112

WJul 28 · 09:20R. Benes—12511113J. Pribyl—1011531

LJul 28 · 06:10R. Benes—5101151J. Pribyl—11127113

WJul 20 · 12:40R. Benes—1111113J. Pribyl—8780

LJul 20 · 12:10R. Benes—5780J. Pribyl—1111113

WJul 18 · 11:45R. Benes—11611113J. Pribyl—911991

WJul 13 · 11:45R. Benes—91111113J. Pribyl—116761

LJul 9 · 13:15R. Benes—89100J. Pribyl—1111123

R. Benes10

LSep 11 · 16:15R. Benes2.2588110F. Chaloupka1.571111133 LSep 11 · 14:45B. Moravec1.6711211113R. Benes2.10911771 WSep 11 · 14:15J. Pribyl1.91911129122R. Benes1.801171011143 LSep 10 · 08:50R. Benes1.8084100T. Grmela1.911111123 LSep 10 · 08:15R. Benes1.83491111102D. Pawlik1.83111198123 LSep 10 · 06:45J. Krupnik2.00741111113R. Benes1.7311113662 WSep 10 · 06:15T. Grmela1.73561781R. Benes2.00111115113 LSep 9 · 12:39R. Benes1.4091270L. Kantor2.751114113 LSep 9 · 11:40J. Skvrna1.7311811133R. Benes2.006119111 WSep 9 · 11:10L. Kantor2.63691161R. Benes1.4411118113

J. Pribyl10

LSep 11 · 15:45B. Moravec1.8011118113J. Pribyl1.91861161 LSep 11 · 15:15F. Chaloupka2.7511119113J. Pribyl1.40551151 LSep 11 · 14:15J. Pribyl1.91911129122R. Benes1.801171011143 WSep 10 · 17:20J. Skvrna1.538970J. Pribyl2.381111113 WSep 10 · 16:15J. Pribyl1.36121111123F. Chaloupka3.0010134101 WSep 10 · 14:45B. Moravec2.00119911112J. Pribyl1.73611114133 LSep 10 · 14:15J. Skvrna1.6711117143J. Pribyl2.108911121 WAug 22 · 13:15J. Pribyl1.531011119113D. Vitasek2.3812281132 LAug 22 · 12:15K. Kleprlik2.631116113J. Pribyl1.4471460 WAug 22 · 11:15J. Pribyl1.671111113D. Vitasek2.108680

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