TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13101515
Played Sep 9Finished
Lukas Kantor
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611911118611––
Radek Benes
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:49 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeRadek Benes to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Kantor above · Radek Benes below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 73 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Radek Benes at 65.7%
73 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Kantor 2–5 Radek Benes Lukas Kantor has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:49What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Benes
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Benes
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kantor 1463 vs Benes 1628
Benes
Correct
both rated, 165 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kantor 40% vs Benes 60%
Benes
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kantor 40% vs Benes 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kantor -2 · Benes +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Benes)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKantor 2.63 / Benes 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Benes)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13101515
Kantor2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 65 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back23% 16 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 39
Benes1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 186 of 335
Up 2–0, closes it95% 76 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it74% 123 of 167
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKantor2wins
AwayBenes5wins
3 of 7 to a deciderBenes leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKantorn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBenes80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kantor2Benes5n = 7Benes took 5 of 7
S2Kantor1Benes6n = 7Benes took 6 of 7
S3Kantor4Benes3n = 7Kantor took 4 of 7
S4Kantor2Benes4n = 6Benes took 4 of 6
S5Kantor2Benes1n = 3Kantor took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away343%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricKantorBenesK − BBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match37.041.6−4.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKantorBenesBasisWin rate · lifetime172 / 345 vs 486 / 93049.9%52.3%172 / 345 vs 486 / 930Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BenesKantor 2.63/Benes 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Benes · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Benes won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 5 · 13:10L. Kantor—66110R. Benes—1111133
WAug 5 · 11:10L. Kantor—1271311113R. Benes—101115692
LJun 24 · 11:10L. Kantor—11511362R. Benes—411611113
LJun 22 · 05:40L. Kantor—11101171R. Benes—13128113
LMay 13 · 07:10L. Kantor—981171R. Benes—11114113
LApr 17 · 09:40L. Kantor—371181R. Benes—11116113
WMar 16 · 08:40L. Kantor—611411113R. Benes—11811572
L. Kantor10
WSep 9 · 12:39R. Benes1.4091270L. Kantor2.751114113LSep 9 · 12:10R. Sedlacek1.3611117113L. Kantor3.00771171LSep 9 · 09:40J. Skvrna1.5710141511113L. Kantor2.25121217592LSep 5 · 16:45L. Kantor1.8091161162T. Lysek1.90118118113WSep 5 · 15:45L. Kantor2.20151181133A. Kanak1.611381111112LSep 5 · 14:45L. Kantor1.679990J. Volny2.101111113WSep 5 · 13:45L. Kantor2.0011117123T. Lysek1.737611101LSep 3 · 12:45L. Kantor2.208890J. Krupnik1.611111113LSep 3 · 12:10D. Pawlik1.5711117113L. Kantor2.25861191LSep 3 · 11:10L. Kantor2.25651181B. Mrowetz1.5711117113
R. Benes10
LSep 9 · 12:39R. Benes1.4091270L. Kantor2.751114113LSep 9 · 11:40J. Skvrna1.7311811133R. Benes2.006119111WSep 9 · 10:10R. Benes1.80411611113R. Sedlacek1.9111511892LSep 9 · 09:19D. Pawlik1.801113113R. Benes1.9171190WSep 9 · 07:40R. Benes1.8012911113R. Sedlacek1.911011691WSep 9 · 06:40R. Benes1.73111197113D. Pawlik2.0089111142LSep 9 · 05:40R. Benes1.611471112102L. Lasota2.201611610123LSep 7 · 12:40R. Benes1.8087100D. Jr1.911111123WSep 7 · 12:10R. Benes1.9111611113D. Jr1.80711681LSep 7 · 10:40T. Kindl1.911111113R. Benes1.808950
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