TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13101176
Played Sep 9Finished
Jan Skvrna
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
101214121517115119
Lukas Kantor
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:29 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timeJan Skvrna to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Skvrna above · Lukas Kantor below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 15-17
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 116 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Jan Skvrna at 55.6%
116 points played in total.
H2H Jan Skvrna 2–1 Lukas Kantor Lukas Kantor has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:29What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Skvrna
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skvrna 1665 vs Kantor 1468
Skvrna
Correct
both rated, 197 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvrna 60% vs Kantor 40%
Skvrna
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvrna 60% vs Kantor 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvrna +3 · Kantor -1
Skvrna
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Skvrna) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvrna 1.57 / Kantor 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Skvrna)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13101176
Skvrna1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 229 of 389
Up 2–0, closes it96% 76 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it74% 161 of 217
Kantor2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 65 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back23% 16 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSkvrna2wins
AwayKantor1wins
2 of 3 to a deciderSkvrna leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvrna1Kantor2n = 3Kantor took 2 of 3
S2Skvrna2Kantor1n = 3Skvrna took 2 of 3
S3Skvrna2Kantor1n = 3Skvrna took 2 of 3
S4Skvrna2Kantor1n = 3Skvrna took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSkvrnaKantorS − KBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match42.741.7+1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvrnaKantorBasisWin rate · lifetime457 / 789 vs 172 / 34457.9%50%457 / 789 vs 172 / 344Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.039.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvrnaSkvrna 1.57/Kantor 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Skvrna · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Skvrna won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WMay 28 · 12:40J. Skvrna—611911113L. Kantor—11411292
LMay 28 · 09:40J. Skvrna—71111532L. Kantor—117811113
WMay 25 · 05:40J. Skvrna—12812113L. Kantor—10111091
J. Skvrna10
LSep 9 · 10:40J. Skvrna1.61111196112R. Sedlacek2.20941111133WSep 8 · 13:05T. Krenek1.91124581J. Skvrna1.80101111113WSep 8 · 11:40J. Skvrna1.731171011123T. Krenek2.00811129102WSep 8 · 10:40J. Skvrna1.571141111113D. Jr2.2561191362LSep 8 · 09:40J. Skvrna1.61812101172T. Kindl2.201110122113LSep 6 · 12:40J. Skvrna1.5711914472E. Precek2.258111211113LSep 6 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.7378100T. Krenek2.001111123LSep 6 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.5731191182L. Slavik2.25114119113WSep 6 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53131112113E. Precek2.381551071WSep 5 · 13:10M. Macurak1.90891191J. Skvrna1.7411118113
L. Kantor10
LSep 5 · 16:45L. Kantor1.8091161162T. Lysek1.90118118113WSep 5 · 15:45L. Kantor2.20151181133A. Kanak1.611381111112LSep 5 · 14:45L. Kantor1.679990J. Volny2.101111113WSep 5 · 13:45L. Kantor2.0011117123T. Lysek1.737611101LSep 3 · 12:45L. Kantor2.208890J. Krupnik1.611111113LSep 3 · 12:10D. Pawlik1.5711117113L. Kantor2.25861191LSep 3 · 11:10L. Kantor2.25651181B. Mrowetz1.5711117113WSep 3 · 09:40J. Krupnik1.53911981L. Kantor2.3811611113WSep 3 · 09:08L. Kantor2.1011911113D. Pawlik1.67611891WSep 3 · 07:40D. Pawlik1.50611681L. Kantor2.5011911113
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