TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13101546
Played Sep 9Finished
Jan Skvrna
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1191149116111113
Radek Sedlacek
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:50 and never touched — 59.8% is still 59.8%
Graded at full timeJan Skvrna to win
59.8%
59.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Skvrna above · Radek Sedlacek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 96 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Jan Skvrna at 59.8%
96 points played in total.
H2H Jan Skvrna 15–8 Radek Sedlacek Radek Sedlacek has won 8 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:50What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Skvrna
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-8 in 23
Skvrna
Wrong
gap of 7 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skvrna 1670 vs Sedlacek 1497
Skvrna
Wrong
both rated, 173 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvrna 80% vs Sedlacek 0%
Skvrna
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvrna 60% vs Sedlacek 10%
Skvrna
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvrna +4 · Sedlacek -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Skvrna) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sedlacek form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvrna 1.61 / Sedlacek 2.20
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Skvrna)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13101546
Skvrna1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 229 of 389
Up 2–0, closes it96% 76 of 79
Up 1–0, closes it74% 161 of 217
Sedlacek2.20
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog46% won 34 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back30% 13 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkvrna7wins
AwaySedlacek3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSkvrna leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvrna66.7%4 of 6
AwaySedlacek25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvrna6Sedlacek4n = 10Skvrna took 6 of 10
S2Skvrna2Sedlacek8n = 10Sedlacek took 8 of 10
S3Skvrna7Sedlacek3n = 10Skvrna took 7 of 10
S4Skvrna7Sedlacek3n = 10Skvrna took 7 of 10
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkvrnaSedlacekSkvrna − SedlacekBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.738.9+2.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvrnaSedlacekBasisWin rate · lifetime458 / 790 vs 137 / 29958%45.8%458 / 790 vs 137 / 299Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvrnaSkvrna 1.61/Sedlacek 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Skvrna · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sedlacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 09:45J. Skvrna—931111113R. Sedlacek—11117762
WJul 15 · 05:40J. Skvrna—861111113R. Sedlacek—11113782
LJun 26 · 11:45J. Skvrna—11514101R. Sedlacek—31116123
WJun 24 · 07:10J. Skvrna—111011113R. Sedlacek—612941
WApr 24 · 05:40J. Skvrna—11811163R. Sedlacek—7113141
LApr 22 · 09:40J. Skvrna—1136101R. Sedlacek—91111123
WApr 21 · 06:40J. Skvrna—61111113R. Sedlacek—116981
WApr 14 · 16:40J. Skvrna—13911113R. Sedlacek—1111791
LApr 14 · 14:40J. Skvrna—4118111R. Sedlacek—11811133
WApr 8 · 11:40J. Skvrna—121511113R. Sedlacek—1017861
J. Skvrna10
WSep 9 · 09:40J. Skvrna1.5710141511113L. Kantor2.25121217592WSep 8 · 13:05T. Krenek1.91124581J. Skvrna1.80101111113WSep 8 · 11:40J. Skvrna1.731171011123T. Krenek2.00811129102WSep 8 · 10:40J. Skvrna1.571141111113D. Jr2.2561191362LSep 8 · 09:40J. Skvrna1.61812101172T. Kindl2.201110122113LSep 6 · 12:40J. Skvrna1.5711914472E. Precek2.258111211113LSep 6 · 11:45J. Skvrna1.7378100T. Krenek2.001111123LSep 6 · 10:45J. Skvrna1.5731191182L. Slavik2.25114119113WSep 6 · 09:45J. Skvrna1.53131112113E. Precek2.381551071WSep 5 · 13:10M. Macurak1.90891191J. Skvrna1.7411118113
R. Sedlacek10
LSep 9 · 10:10R. Benes1.80411611113R. Sedlacek1.9111511892LSep 9 · 08:48L. Lasota1.731111113R. Sedlacek2.006830LSep 9 · 07:40R. Benes1.8012911113R. Sedlacek1.911011691LSep 9 · 07:10L. Lasota2.0011119113R. Sedlacek1.73691181LSep 9 · 06:10R. Sedlacek1.918611101D. Pawlik1.8011119123LSep 7 · 20:45R. Sedlacek1.8311690J. Krupnik1.831311113LSep 7 · 20:15J. Travnicek1.8011911113R. Sedlacek1.91611651WSep 7 · 19:15R. Sedlacek1.91121176123J. Krupnik1.801061111102LSep 7 · 17:45D. Skulina1.57131311143R. Sedlacek2.2511155121LSep 4 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.83931151J. Krupnik1.8311119113
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