TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13101579
Played Sep 9Finished
Laurent Lasota
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116119911118––
Radek Sedlacek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadek Sedlacek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLaurent Lasota above · Radek Sedlacek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 76 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Radek Sedlacek at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Laurent Lasota 1–0 Radek Sedlacek Radek Sedlacek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:08What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sedlacek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Lasota 1550 vs Sedlacek 1554
Sedlacek
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lasota 80% vs Sedlacek 20%
Lasota
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lasota 50% vs Sedlacek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lasota +3 · Sedlacek -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sedlacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sedlacek form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLasota 2.00 / Sedlacek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sedlacek)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13101579
Lasota2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 45 of 91
Down 0–1, comes back25% 12 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 25
Sedlacek1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 43 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it81% 17 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it75% 30 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeLasota1wins
AwaySedlacek0wins
Lasota leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricLasotaSedlacekL − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match42.034.0+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLasotaSedlacekBasisWin rate · lifetime140 / 280 vs 137 / 29650%46.3%140 / 280 vs 137 / 296Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SedlacekLasota 2.00/Sedlacek 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sedlacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lasota won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 9 · 07:10L. Lasota—11119113R. Sedlacek—691181
L. Lasota10
WSep 9 · 05:40R. Benes1.611471112102L. Lasota2.201611610123WSep 7 · 09:10L. Lasota2.251113113B. Mrowetz1.5581190WSep 7 · 08:10L. Lasota1.5711711113J. Przybyla2.25311691LSep 7 · 06:40B. Mrowetz1.61661111113L. Lasota2.2011114562WSep 7 · 06:10D. Pawlik1.731411391L. Lasota2.0016811113LSep 6 · 16:44L. Dzida1.6711811123L. Lasota2.104119101LSep 6 · 16:10T. Molin1.83111149113L. Lasota1.8357111172LSep 6 · 15:10L. Lasota1.91911991L. Dzida1.8011711113LSep 6 · 13:40T. Kindl1.671111113L. Lasota2.107850WSep 4 · 08:48A. Cizek1.5381341242L. Lasota2.3811111110113
R. Sedlacek10
LSep 9 · 06:10R. Sedlacek1.918611101D. Pawlik1.8011119123LSep 7 · 20:45R. Sedlacek1.8311690J. Krupnik1.831311113LSep 7 · 20:15J. Travnicek1.8011911113R. Sedlacek1.91611651WSep 7 · 19:15R. Sedlacek1.91121176123J. Krupnik1.801061111102LSep 7 · 17:45D. Skulina1.57131311143R. Sedlacek2.2511155121LSep 4 · 13:10R. Sedlacek1.83931151J. Krupnik1.8311119113WSep 4 · 11:40R. Sedlacek1.9112143113J. Krupnik1.8010121141WSep 4 · 10:40R. Sedlacek1.801111113D. Jr1.918890WSep 4 · 09:40R. Sedlacek1.44911911113J. Przybyla2.6311911972LSep 2 · 12:45B. Mrowetz1.67811118113R. Sedlacek2.1011681192
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