TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13104063
Played Sep 9Finished
Radek Benes
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111214711––––
Lukas Kantor
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingRadek Benes above · Lukas Kantor below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 64 set 3, 7-11
64 points played in total.
H2H Radek Benes 6–2 Lukas Kantor Lukas Kantor has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Benes beat Kantor 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Benes)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kantor form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBenes 1.40 / Kantor 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 33%
Edge (Benes)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13104063
Benes1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 186 of 335
Up 2–0, closes it95% 76 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it74% 123 of 167
Kantor2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 65 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back23% 16 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeBenes6wins
AwayKantor2wins
3 of 8 to a deciderBenes leads 6–2, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBenes83.3%5 of 6
AwayKantorn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Benes6Kantor2n = 8Benes took 6 of 8
S2Benes7Kantor1n = 8Benes took 7 of 8
S3Benes3Kantor5n = 8Kantor took 5 of 8
S4Benes5Kantor2n = 7Benes took 5 of 7
S5Benes1Kantor2n = 3Kantor took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home450%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricBenesKantorB − KBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set62+4of 8Avg pointsper match41.536.4+5.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBenesKantorBasisWin rate · lifetime487 / 932 vs 172 / 34752.3%49.6%487 / 932 vs 172 / 347Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BenesBenes 1.40/Kantor 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.5%
Benes · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kantor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 9 · 11:10R. Benes—11118113L. Kantor—691161
WAug 5 · 13:10R. Benes—1111133L. Kantor—66110
LAug 5 · 11:10R. Benes—101115692L. Kantor—1271311113
WJun 24 · 11:10R. Benes—411611113L. Kantor—11511362
WJun 22 · 05:40R. Benes—13128113L. Kantor—11101171
WMay 13 · 07:10R. Benes—11114113L. Kantor—981171
WApr 17 · 09:40R. Benes—11116113L. Kantor—371181
LMar 16 · 08:40R. Benes—11811572L. Kantor—611411113
R. Benes10
LSep 9 · 11:40J. Skvrna1.7311811133R. Benes2.006119111WSep 9 · 11:10L. Kantor2.63691161R. Benes1.4411118113WSep 9 · 10:10R. Benes1.80411611113R. Sedlacek1.9111511892LSep 9 · 09:19D. Pawlik1.801113113R. Benes1.9171190WSep 9 · 07:40R. Benes1.8012911113R. Sedlacek1.911011691WSep 9 · 06:40R. Benes1.73111197113D. Pawlik2.0089111142LSep 9 · 05:40R. Benes1.611471112102L. Lasota2.201611610123LSep 7 · 12:40R. Benes1.8087100D. Jr1.911111123WSep 7 · 12:10R. Benes1.9111611113D. Jr1.80711681LSep 7 · 10:40T. Kindl1.911111113R. Benes1.808950
L. Kantor10
LSep 9 · 12:10R. Sedlacek1.3611117113L. Kantor3.00771171LSep 9 · 11:10L. Kantor2.63691161R. Benes1.4411118113LSep 9 · 09:40J. Skvrna1.5710141511113L. Kantor2.25121217592LSep 5 · 16:45L. Kantor1.8091161162T. Lysek1.90118118113WSep 5 · 15:45L. Kantor2.20151181133A. Kanak1.611381111112LSep 5 · 14:45L. Kantor1.679990J. Volny2.101111113WSep 5 · 13:45L. Kantor2.0011117123T. Lysek1.737611101LSep 3 · 12:45L. Kantor2.208890J. Krupnik1.611111113LSep 3 · 12:10D. Pawlik1.5711117113L. Kantor2.25861191LSep 3 · 11:10L. Kantor2.25651181B. Mrowetz1.5711117113
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