TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13109136
Played Sep 10Finished
Borek Moravec
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1169119111141113
Jan Pribyl
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:05 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBorek Moravec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingBorek Moravec above · Jan Pribyl below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 96 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Borek Moravec at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Borek Moravec 12–14 Jan Pribyl Borek Moravec has won 12 of their 26 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 11:05What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pribyl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-14 in 26
Pribyl
Correct
gap of 2 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moravec 1782 vs Pribyl 1686
Moravec
Wrong
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moravec 40% vs Pribyl 60%
Pribyl
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moravec 60% vs Pribyl 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Moravec +2 · Pribyl -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Moravec)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 2.00 / Pribyl 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Moravec)+7.7pp
TT Cup · #13109136
Moravec2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog52% won 45 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back37% 19 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 28
Pribyl1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 49 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it74% 37 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMoravec4wins
AwayPribyl6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPribyl leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoravec100%4 of 4
AwayPribyl100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravec4Pribyl6n = 10Pribyl took 6 of 10
S2Moravec4Pribyl6n = 10Pribyl took 6 of 10
S3Moravec7Pribyl3n = 10Moravec took 7 of 10
S4Moravec4Pribyl2n = 6Moravec took 4 of 6
S5Moravec0Pribyl3n = 3Pribyl took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMoravecPribylM − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.935.0+0.9per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecPribylBasisWin rate · lifetime254 / 442 vs 108 / 19757.5%54.8%254 / 442 vs 108 / 197Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecMoravec 2.00/Pribyl 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pribyl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 27 · 09:15B. Moravec—861161J. Pribyl—11113113
WJun 27 · 07:45B. Moravec—11911113J. Pribyl—911761
LJun 1 · 17:15B. Moravec—67100J. Pribyl—1111123
LJun 1 · 16:10B. Moravec—77111142J. Pribyl—111149113
LMay 28 · 16:10B. Moravec—10980J. Pribyl—1211113
WMay 13 · 17:15B. Moravec—1211113J. Pribyl—10990
LMay 13 · 15:40B. Moravec—51111472J. Pribyl—114611113
LMay 5 · 14:40B. Moravec—107111192J. Pribyl—121188113
WApr 28 · 16:38B. Moravec—1112113J. Pribyl—71040
WApr 28 · 15:40B. Moravec—11119113J. Pribyl—751121
B. Moravec10
WSep 10 · 13:45B. Moravec1.50111195113F. Chaloupka2.5057111162WSep 6 · 08:53F. Chaloupka3.0081151172B. Moravec1.36117114113LSep 6 · 07:40B. Moravec1.80611761J. Gembala1.9111211113LSep 6 · 06:40B. Moravec1.4436111172F. Chaloupka2.63111159113LSep 6 · 05:40B. Moravec1.806950D. Stusek1.911111113WAug 30 · 09:19B. Moravec1.44119911113J. Skvrna2.6361111462WAug 30 · 07:40B. Moravec1.44831112113F. Chaloupka2.63111181032WAug 30 · 06:40B. Moravec1.44111111113J. Skvrna2.63139431WAug 30 · 05:40B. Moravec1.50117119113J. Skalicky2.5051121172LAug 25 · 16:55J. Rak—116113113B. Moravec—61141182
J. Pribyl10
LSep 10 · 14:15J. Skvrna1.6711117143J. Pribyl2.108911121WAug 22 · 13:15J. Pribyl1.531011119113D. Vitasek2.3812281132LAug 22 · 12:15K. Kleprlik2.631116113J. Pribyl1.4471460WAug 22 · 11:15J. Pribyl1.671111113D. Vitasek2.108680WAug 22 · 09:45B. Mrowetz2.25381181J. Pribyl1.5711118113LAug 19 · 13:08T. Krenek1.8071111113J. Pribyl1.91117981WAug 19 · 12:15J. Krupnik2.006840J. Pribyl1.731111113LAug 19 · 11:15J. Pribyl1.73411691T. Krenek2.0011711113WAug 19 · 09:45M. Macurak2.2511511672J. Pribyl1.57811911113LAug 6 · 13:15J. Krupnik1.80113119153J. Pribyl1.91711711132
Upcoming Matches
B. Moravec
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J. Pribyl
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