TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108566
Played Sep 10Finished
Jan Skvrna
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181197111412––
Jan Pribyl
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Skvrna to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Skvrna above · Jan Pribyl below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 83 set 4, 14-12 — our read held Jan Skvrna at 54.0%
83 points played in total.
H2H Jan Skvrna 7–8 Jan Pribyl Jan Skvrna has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:17What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Skvrna
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-8 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skvrna 1655 vs Pribyl 1699
Pribyl
Wrong
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvrna 60% vs Pribyl 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvrna 70% vs Pribyl 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvrna +2 · Pribyl +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Skvrna) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pribyl form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvrna 1.67 / Pribyl 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Skvrna)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13108566
Skvrna1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 227 of 387
Up 2–0, closes it95% 73 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it74% 159 of 215
Pribyl2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 17 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back13% 2 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkvrna5wins
AwayPribyl5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvrna100%4 of 4
AwayPribyl83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvrna4Pribyl6n = 10Pribyl took 6 of 10
S2Skvrna5Pribyl5n = 10split evenly
S3Skvrna5Pribyl5n = 10split evenly
S4Skvrna5Pribyl2n = 7Skvrna took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkvrnaPribylS − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.337.0−0.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvrnaPribylBasisWin rate · lifetime462 / 797 vs 108 / 19658%55.1%462 / 797 vs 108 / 196Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.039.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvrnaSkvrna 1.67/Pribyl 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Skvrna · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Skvrna won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 3 · 09:40J. Skvrna—11118113J. Pribyl—741191
LJul 29 · 06:45J. Skvrna—9612101J. Pribyl—111110123
WJul 20 · 11:10J. Skvrna—1111113J. Pribyl—8980
LJul 19 · 15:40J. Skvrna—51181182J. Pribyl—114119113
WJun 10 · 15:40J. Skvrna—14115113J. Pribyl—1291191
WJun 7 · 14:45J. Skvrna—91111133J. Pribyl—1179111
LJun 1 · 14:40J. Skvrna—6590J. Pribyl—1111113
WMay 17 · 11:40J. Skvrna—111212113J. Pribyl—6141071
LApr 26 · 16:55J. Skvrna—1081161J. Pribyl—12118113
LApr 26 · 15:45J. Skvrna—9590J. Pribyl—1111113
J. Skvrna10
WSep 10 · 12:49T. Grmela2.20117871J. Skvrna1.6131111113WSep 10 · 11:45B. Mrowetz2.0011118682J. Skvrna1.73731111113LSep 10 · 11:15L. Slavik3.50641111113J. Skvrna1.2811118272LSep 10 · 10:15J. Skvrna1.57117591T. Grmela2.2581111113WSep 9 · 13:10J. Skvrna1.7312411213R. Sedlacek2.0010117191WSep 9 · 11:40J. Skvrna1.7311811133R. Benes2.006119111LSep 9 · 10:40J. Skvrna1.61111196112R. Sedlacek2.20941111133WSep 9 · 09:40J. Skvrna1.5710141511113L. Kantor2.25121217592WSep 8 · 13:05T. Krenek1.91124581J. Skvrna1.80101111113WSep 8 · 11:40J. Skvrna1.731171011123T. Krenek2.00811129102
J. Pribyl10
WAug 22 · 13:15J. Pribyl1.531011119113D. Vitasek2.3812281132LAug 22 · 12:15K. Kleprlik2.631116113J. Pribyl1.4471460WAug 22 · 11:15J. Pribyl1.671111113D. Vitasek2.108680WAug 22 · 09:45B. Mrowetz2.25381181J. Pribyl1.5711118113LAug 19 · 13:08T. Krenek1.8071111113J. Pribyl1.91117981WAug 19 · 12:15J. Krupnik2.006840J. Pribyl1.731111113LAug 19 · 11:15J. Pribyl1.73411691T. Krenek2.0011711113WAug 19 · 09:45M. Macurak2.2511511672J. Pribyl1.57811911113LAug 6 · 13:15J. Krupnik1.80113119153J. Pribyl1.91711711132WAug 6 · 11:45D. Pawlik2.50711100J. Pribyl1.501113123
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