TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13109793
Played Sep 10Finished
Tomas Grmela
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
113711811711––
Jan Skvrna
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingTomas Grmela above · Jan Skvrna below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 69 set 4, 7-11
69 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Grmela 3–4 Jan Skvrna Tomas Grmela has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Grmela beat Skvrna 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Skvrna)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrmela 2.20 / Skvrna 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Skvrna)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13109793
Grmela2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 13 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back29% 4 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Skvrna1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 227 of 387
Up 2–0, closes it95% 73 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it74% 159 of 215
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeGrmela3wins
AwaySkvrna4wins
4 of 7 to a deciderSkvrna leads 4–3, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrmela33.3%1 of 3
AwaySkvrna50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grmela3Skvrna4n = 7Skvrna took 4 of 7
S2Grmela5Skvrna2n = 7Grmela took 5 of 7
S3Grmela4Skvrna3n = 7Grmela took 4 of 7
S4Grmela3Skvrna3n = 6split evenly
S5Grmela1Skvrna3n = 4Skvrna took 3 of 4
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away343%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricGrmelaSkvrnaG − SBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match41.339.6+1.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrmelaSkvrnaBasisWin rate · lifetime20 / 47 vs 461 / 79642.6%57.9%20 / 47 vs 461 / 796Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.440.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvrnaGrmela 2.20/Skvrna 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Skvrna · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Skvrna won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 10 · 10:15T. Grmela—81111113J. Skvrna—117591
WAug 27 · 14:45T. Grmela—1011911113J. Skvrna—12811542
LAug 11 · 05:40T. Grmela—81141162J. Skvrna—117118113
LAug 3 · 11:40T. Grmela—11511882J. Skvrna—811511113
LJul 27 · 18:15T. Grmela—7111271J. Skvrna—11914113
LJul 27 · 16:43T. Grmela—118112112J. Skvrna—511611133
WJul 27 · 15:45T. Grmela—1111113J. Skvrna—5870
T. Grmela10
LSep 10 · 12:15T. Grmela2.0099111192L. Slavik1.73111165113LSep 10 · 10:45B. Mrowetz1.6711811113T. Grmela2.10611541WSep 10 · 10:15J. Skvrna1.57117591T. Grmela2.2581111113WSep 10 · 08:50R. Benes1.8084100T. Grmela1.911111123LSep 10 · 07:45J. Krupnik1.7361213113T. Grmela2.0011101171LSep 10 · 07:15D. Pawlik1.731111113T. Grmela2.005960LSep 10 · 06:15T. Grmela1.73561781R. Benes2.00111115113WAug 27 · 20:45D. Vitasek2.0012560T. Grmela1.731411113LAug 27 · 19:45F. Chaloupka1.731111113T. Grmela2.004770LAug 27 · 19:15D. Vitasek2.25111245113T. Grmela1.57810111192
J. Skvrna10
WSep 10 · 11:45B. Mrowetz2.0011118682J. Skvrna1.73731111113LSep 10 · 11:15L. Slavik3.50641111113J. Skvrna1.2811118272LSep 10 · 10:15J. Skvrna1.57117591T. Grmela2.2581111113WSep 9 · 13:10J. Skvrna1.7312411213R. Sedlacek2.0010117191WSep 9 · 11:40J. Skvrna1.7311811133R. Benes2.006119111LSep 9 · 10:40J. Skvrna1.61111196112R. Sedlacek2.20941111133WSep 9 · 09:40J. Skvrna1.5710141511113L. Kantor2.25121217592WSep 8 · 13:05T. Krenek1.91124581J. Skvrna1.80101111113WSep 8 · 11:40J. Skvrna1.731171011123T. Krenek2.00811129102WSep 8 · 10:40J. Skvrna1.571141111113D. Jr2.2561191362
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