TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13106196
Played Sep 10Finished
Jan Skvrna
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118711511911––
Tomas Grmela
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:24 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeJan Skvrna to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Skvrna above · Tomas Grmela below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 73 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Jan Skvrna at 61.7%
73 points played in total.
H2H Jan Skvrna 4–2 Tomas Grmela Tomas Grmela has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:24What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Skvrna
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Skvrna
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skvrna 1659 vs Grmela 1571
Skvrna
Wrong
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skvrna 80% vs Grmela 40%
Skvrna
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skvrna 60% vs Grmela 40%
Skvrna
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skvrna +2 · Grmela +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Skvrna) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvrna form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkvrna 1.57 / Grmela 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Skvrna)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #13106196
Skvrna1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 227 of 387
Up 2–0, closes it95% 73 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it74% 159 of 215
Grmela2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 13 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back29% 4 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSkvrna4wins
AwayGrmela2wins
4 of 6 to a deciderSkvrna leads 4–2, and 4 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkvrna66.7%2 of 3
AwayGrmela33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skvrna3Grmela3n = 6split evenly
S2Skvrna2Grmela4n = 6Grmela took 4 of 6
S3Skvrna3Grmela3n = 6split evenly
S4Skvrna3Grmela2n = 5Skvrna took 3 of 5
S5Skvrna3Grmela1n = 4Skvrna took 3 of 4
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home350%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricSkvrnaGrmelaS − GBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match40.841.3−0.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkvrnaGrmelaBasisWin rate · lifetime460 / 793 vs 19 / 4558%42.2%460 / 793 vs 19 / 45Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match40.035.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkvrnaSkvrna 1.57/Grmela 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.9%
Skvrna · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Grmela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 27 · 14:45J. Skvrna—12811542T. Grmela—1011911113
WAug 11 · 05:40J. Skvrna—117118113T. Grmela—81141162
WAug 3 · 11:40J. Skvrna—811511113T. Grmela—11511882
WJul 27 · 18:15J. Skvrna—11914113T. Grmela—7111271
WJul 27 · 16:43J. Skvrna—511611133T. Grmela—118112112
LJul 27 · 15:45J. Skvrna—5870T. Grmela—1111113
J. Skvrna10
WSep 10 · 11:45B. Mrowetz2.0011118682J. Skvrna1.73731111113LSep 10 · 11:15L. Slavik3.50641111113J. Skvrna1.2811118272WSep 9 · 13:10J. Skvrna1.7312411213R. Sedlacek2.0010117191WSep 9 · 11:40J. Skvrna1.7311811133R. Benes2.006119111LSep 9 · 10:40J. Skvrna1.61111196112R. Sedlacek2.20941111133WSep 9 · 09:40J. Skvrna1.5710141511113L. Kantor2.25121217592WSep 8 · 13:05T. Krenek1.91124581J. Skvrna1.80101111113WSep 8 · 11:40J. Skvrna1.731171011123T. Krenek2.00811129102WSep 8 · 10:40J. Skvrna1.571141111113D. Jr2.2561191362LSep 8 · 09:40J. Skvrna1.61812101172T. Kindl2.201110122113
T. Grmela10
LSep 10 · 10:45B. Mrowetz1.6711811113T. Grmela2.10611541WSep 10 · 08:50R. Benes1.8084100T. Grmela1.911111123LSep 10 · 07:45J. Krupnik1.7361213113T. Grmela2.0011101171LSep 10 · 07:15D. Pawlik1.731111113T. Grmela2.005960LSep 10 · 06:15T. Grmela1.73561781R. Benes2.00111115113WAug 27 · 20:45D. Vitasek2.0012560T. Grmela1.731411113LAug 27 · 19:45F. Chaloupka1.731111113T. Grmela2.004770LAug 27 · 19:15D. Vitasek2.25111245113T. Grmela1.57810111192LAug 27 · 18:15T. Grmela1.911259101J. Krupnik1.80101111123WAug 27 · 16:47T. Grmela1.83121183113K. Kleprlik1.83109111152
Upcoming Matches
J. Skvrna
T. Grmela
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.