TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108490
Played Sep 10Finished
Radek Benes
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8114111012––––
Tomas Grmela
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingRadek Benes above · Tomas Grmela below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 56 set 3, 10-12
56 points played in total.
H2H Radek Benes 2–2 Tomas Grmela Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Benes beat Grmela 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Benes)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grmela form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBenes 1.80 / Grmela 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Benes)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13108490
Benes1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 189 of 340
Up 2–0, closes it95% 77 of 81
Up 1–0, closes it74% 125 of 169
Grmela1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 13 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back29% 4 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeBenes2wins
AwayGrmela2wins
Level at 2–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Benes2Grmela2n = 4split evenly
S2Benes2Grmela2n = 4split evenly
S3Benes1Grmela3n = 4Grmela took 3 of 4
S4Benes2Grmela1n = 3Benes took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricBenesGrmelaB − GBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match36.836.2+0.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBenesGrmelaBasisWin rate · lifetime488 / 935 vs 18 / 4252.2%42.9%488 / 935 vs 18 / 42Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.835.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BenesBenes 1.80/Grmela 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Benes · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Grmela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 10 · 06:15R. Benes—111115113T. Grmela—561781
LAug 11 · 10:10R. Benes—118981T. Grmela—61111113
LAug 11 · 08:40R. Benes—8450T. Grmela—1111113
WAug 11 · 07:10R. Benes—81116113T. Grmela—1151471
R. Benes10
LSep 10 · 08:15R. Benes1.83491111102D. Pawlik1.83111198123LSep 10 · 06:45J. Krupnik2.00741111113R. Benes1.7311113662WSep 10 · 06:15T. Grmela1.73561781R. Benes2.00111115113LSep 9 · 12:39R. Benes1.4091270L. Kantor2.751114113LSep 9 · 11:40J. Skvrna1.7311811133R. Benes2.006119111WSep 9 · 11:10L. Kantor2.63691161R. Benes1.4411118113WSep 9 · 10:10R. Benes1.80411611113R. Sedlacek1.9111511892LSep 9 · 09:19D. Pawlik1.801113113R. Benes1.9171190WSep 9 · 07:40R. Benes1.8012911113R. Sedlacek1.911011691WSep 9 · 06:40R. Benes1.73111197113D. Pawlik2.0089111142
T. Grmela10
LSep 10 · 07:45J. Krupnik1.7361213113T. Grmela2.0011101171LSep 10 · 07:15D. Pawlik1.731111113T. Grmela2.005960LSep 10 · 06:15T. Grmela1.73561781R. Benes2.00111115113WAug 27 · 20:45D. Vitasek2.0012560T. Grmela1.731411113LAug 27 · 19:45F. Chaloupka1.731111113T. Grmela2.004770LAug 27 · 19:15D. Vitasek2.25111245113T. Grmela1.57810111192LAug 27 · 18:15T. Grmela1.911259101J. Krupnik1.80101111123WAug 27 · 16:47T. Grmela1.83121183113K. Kleprlik1.83109111152WAug 27 · 16:15T. Grmela2.2071114123K. Kleprlik1.6111912101WAug 27 · 14:45J. Skvrna1.5012811542T. Grmela2.501011911113
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T. Grmela
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