TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13106837
Played Sep 10Finished
Bruno Mrowetz
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116811115114––
Tomas Grmela
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:53 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeBruno Mrowetz to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBruno Mrowetz above · Tomas Grmela below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 67 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Bruno Mrowetz at 56.6%
67 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:53What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Mrowetz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Mrowetz 1690 vs Grmela 1579
Mrowetz
Correct
both rated, 111 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrowetz 80% vs Grmela 40%
Mrowetz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrowetz 70% vs Grmela 40%
Mrowetz
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrowetz +2 · Grmela +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Mrowetz) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mrowetz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrowetz 1.67 / Grmela 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Mrowetz)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13106837
Mrowetz1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 80 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it95% 41 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it78% 60 of 77
Grmela2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 13 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back29% 4 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrowetzGrmelaBasisWin rate · lifetime243 / 481 vs 19 / 4450.5%43.2%243 / 481 vs 19 / 44Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.235.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MrowetzMrowetz 1.67/Grmela 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.6%
Mrowetz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Mrowetz won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
B. Mrowetz10
LSep 10 · 11:45B. Mrowetz2.0011118682J. Skvrna1.73731111113WSep 10 · 09:45B. Mrowetz1.73116115113L. Slavik2.0071191162WSep 7 · 13:10T. Kindl1.968890B. Mrowetz1.701111113LSep 7 · 11:40T. Kindl2.2091112183B. Mrowetz1.6111610161WSep 7 · 11:10D. Jr1.7310830B. Mrowetz2.001211113WSep 7 · 10:10B. Mrowetz1.671111133R. Benes2.1077110LSep 7 · 09:10L. Lasota2.251113113B. Mrowetz1.5581190LSep 7 · 07:40B. Mrowetz1.5011811772D. Pawlik2.50911711113WSep 7 · 06:40B. Mrowetz1.61661111113L. Lasota2.2011114562WSep 7 · 05:40B. Mrowetz1.361111113J. Przybyla3.007580
T. Grmela10
WSep 10 · 10:15J. Skvrna1.57117591T. Grmela2.2581111113WSep 10 · 08:50R. Benes1.8084100T. Grmela1.911111123LSep 10 · 07:45J. Krupnik1.7361213113T. Grmela2.0011101171LSep 10 · 07:15D. Pawlik1.731111113T. Grmela2.005960LSep 10 · 06:15T. Grmela1.73561781R. Benes2.00111115113WAug 27 · 20:45D. Vitasek2.0012560T. Grmela1.731411113LAug 27 · 19:45F. Chaloupka1.731111113T. Grmela2.004770LAug 27 · 19:15D. Vitasek2.25111245113T. Grmela1.57810111192LAug 27 · 18:15T. Grmela1.911259101J. Krupnik1.80101111123WAug 27 · 16:47T. Grmela1.83121183113K. Kleprlik1.83109111152
Upcoming Matches
B. Mrowetz
Nothing scheduled
T. Grmela
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