TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13109555
Played Sep 10Finished
Jan Pribyl
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
121011131141210––
Frantisek Chaloupka
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:43 and never touched — 70.4% is still 70.4%
Graded at full timeJan Pribyl to win
70.4%
70.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Pribyl above · Frantisek Chaloupka below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 83 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Jan Pribyl at 70.4%
83 points played in total.
H2H Jan Pribyl 7–2 Frantisek Chaloupka Frantisek Chaloupka has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:43What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Pribyl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-2 in 9
Pribyl
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pribyl 1712 vs Chaloupka 1595
Pribyl
Correct
both rated, 117 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pribyl 60% vs Chaloupka 20%
Pribyl
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pribyl 60% vs Chaloupka 20%
Pribyl
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pribyl +1 · Chaloupka -4
Chaloupka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Pribyl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chaloupka form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPribyl 1.36 / Chaloupka 3.00
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Pribyl)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13109555
Pribyl1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 49 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it74% 37 of 50
Chaloupka3.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 53 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back31% 19 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomePribyl7wins
AwayChaloupka2wins
3 of 9 to a deciderPribyl leads 7–2, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePribyl71.4%5 of 7
AwayChaloupkan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pribyl7Chaloupka2n = 9Pribyl took 7 of 9
S2Pribyl6Chaloupka3n = 9Pribyl took 6 of 9
S3Pribyl7Chaloupka2n = 9Pribyl took 7 of 9
S4Pribyl4Chaloupka1n = 5Pribyl took 4 of 5
S5Pribyl1Chaloupka2n = 3Chaloupka took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home444%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricPribylChaloupkaP − CBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match38.433.0+5.4per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPribylChaloupkaBasisWin rate · lifetime109 / 198 vs 258 / 49955.1%51.7%109 / 198 vs 258 / 499Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PribylPribyl 1.36/Chaloupka 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.4%
Pribyl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pribyl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WJun 24 · 14:40J. Pribyl—81111113F. Chaloupka—113691
WJun 10 · 16:45J. Pribyl—911611113F. Chaloupka—11911492
WJun 10 · 13:40J. Pribyl—11511143F. Chaloupka—7115121
WMay 13 · 15:10J. Pribyl—1111113F. Chaloupka—6680
WMay 5 · 17:10J. Pribyl—1111113F. Chaloupka—6890
LMay 5 · 14:10J. Pribyl—1111211122F. Chaloupka—713118143
WMar 24 · 17:40J. Pribyl—1111113F. Chaloupka—7850
LMar 24 · 15:40J. Pribyl—11611272F. Chaloupka—911911113
WMar 12 · 17:10J. Pribyl—1111113F. Chaloupka—8860
J. Pribyl10
WSep 10 · 17:20J. Skvrna1.538970J. Pribyl2.381111113WSep 10 · 14:45B. Moravec2.00119911112J. Pribyl1.73611114133LSep 10 · 14:15J. Skvrna1.6711117143J. Pribyl2.108911121WAug 22 · 13:15J. Pribyl1.531011119113D. Vitasek2.3812281132LAug 22 · 12:15K. Kleprlik2.631116113J. Pribyl1.4471460WAug 22 · 11:15J. Pribyl1.671111113D. Vitasek2.108680WAug 22 · 09:45B. Mrowetz2.25381181J. Pribyl1.5711118113LAug 19 · 13:08T. Krenek1.8071111113J. Pribyl1.91117981WAug 19 · 12:15J. Krupnik2.006840J. Pribyl1.731111113LAug 19 · 11:15J. Pribyl1.73411691T. Krenek2.0011711113
F. Chaloupka10
WSep 10 · 16:50B. Moravec1.4411741192F. Chaloupka2.63611114113LSep 10 · 15:15F. Chaloupka2.20611371J. Skvrna1.6111911113LSep 10 · 13:45B. Moravec1.50111195113F. Chaloupka2.5057111162LSep 6 · 08:53F. Chaloupka3.0081151172B. Moravec1.36117114113LSep 6 · 08:10F. Chaloupka1.911111711112D. Stusek1.80913119133WSep 6 · 06:40B. Moravec1.4436111172F. Chaloupka2.63111159113LSep 6 · 06:10J. Gembala1.831111113F. Chaloupka1.831880LSep 4 · 16:39F. Chaloupka1.615131291K. Kleprlik2.20111114113LSep 4 · 15:45F. Chaloupka2.201111581J. Skvrna1.6113911113LSep 4 · 14:45F. Chaloupka1.73411148102D. Skulina2.001131211123
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