TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13110583
Played Sep 10Finished
Borek Moravec
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116711411114911
Frantisek Chaloupka
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingBorek Moravec above · Frantisek Chaloupka below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 85 set 5, 9-11
85 points played in total.
H2H Borek Moravec 36–19 Frantisek Chaloupka Frantisek Chaloupka has won 19 of their 55 meetings.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Moravec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chaloupka form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 1.44 / Chaloupka 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Moravec)+2.4pp
TT Cup · #13110583
Moravec1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite72% won 111 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it100% 50 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it88% 79 of 90
Chaloupka2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog46% won 53 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back31% 19 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMoravec9wins
AwayChaloupka1wins
6 of 10 to a deciderMoravec leads 9–1, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoravec100%6 of 6
AwayChaloupka25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravec6Chaloupka4n = 10Moravec took 6 of 10
S2Moravec4Chaloupka6n = 10Chaloupka took 6 of 10
S3Moravec7Chaloupka3n = 10Moravec took 7 of 10
S4Moravec7Chaloupka2n = 9Moravec took 7 of 9
S5Moravec5Chaloupka1n = 6Moravec took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMoravecChaloupkaM − CBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match44.039.7+4.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecChaloupkaBasisWin rate · lifetime254 / 444 vs 258 / 50057.2%51.6%254 / 444 vs 258 / 500Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecMoravec 1.44/Chaloupka 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.9%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Chaloupka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 13:45B. Moravec—111195113F. Chaloupka—57111162
WSep 6 · 08:53B. Moravec—117114113F. Chaloupka—81151172
LSep 6 · 06:40B. Moravec—36111172F. Chaloupka—111159113
WAug 30 · 07:40B. Moravec—831112113F. Chaloupka—111181032
WAug 21 · 15:40B. Moravec—711811113F. Chaloupka—11711782
WAug 16 · 06:40B. Moravec—111112113F. Chaloupka—961491
WAug 13 · 13:40B. Moravec—111211113F. Chaloupka—814751
WAug 8 · 07:40B. Moravec—11912113F. Chaloupka—8111091
WAug 7 · 17:10B. Moravec—1511113F. Chaloupka—13580
WAug 7 · 15:40B. Moravec—771211113F. Chaloupka—111110762
B. Moravec10
LSep 10 · 15:45B. Moravec1.441061171J. Skvrna2.6312118113LSep 10 · 14:45B. Moravec2.00119911112J. Pribyl1.73611114133WSep 10 · 13:45B. Moravec1.50111195113F. Chaloupka2.5057111162WSep 6 · 08:53F. Chaloupka3.0081151172B. Moravec1.36117114113LSep 6 · 07:40B. Moravec1.80611761J. Gembala1.9111211113LSep 6 · 06:40B. Moravec1.4436111172F. Chaloupka2.63111159113LSep 6 · 05:40B. Moravec1.806950D. Stusek1.911111113WAug 30 · 09:19B. Moravec1.44119911113J. Skvrna2.6361111462WAug 30 · 07:40B. Moravec1.44831112113F. Chaloupka2.63111181032WAug 30 · 06:40B. Moravec1.44111111113J. Skvrna2.63139431
F. Chaloupka10
LSep 10 · 16:15J. Pribyl1.36121111123F. Chaloupka3.0010134101LSep 10 · 15:15F. Chaloupka2.20611371J. Skvrna1.6111911113LSep 10 · 13:45B. Moravec1.50111195113F. Chaloupka2.5057111162LSep 6 · 08:53F. Chaloupka3.0081151172B. Moravec1.36117114113LSep 6 · 08:10F. Chaloupka1.911111711112D. Stusek1.80913119133WSep 6 · 06:40B. Moravec1.4436111172F. Chaloupka2.63111159113LSep 6 · 06:10J. Gembala1.831111113F. Chaloupka1.831880LSep 4 · 16:39F. Chaloupka1.615131291K. Kleprlik2.20111114113LSep 4 · 15:45F. Chaloupka2.201111581J. Skvrna1.6113911113LAug 30 · 07:40B. Moravec1.44831112113F. Chaloupka2.63111181032
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