TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13108801
Played Sep 10Finished
Borek Moravec
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012611118711––
Jan Skvrna
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:04 and never touched — 66.0% is still 66.0%
Graded at full timeBorek Moravec to win
66.0%
66.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingBorek Moravec above · Jan Skvrna below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 76 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Borek Moravec at 66.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Borek Moravec 20–13 Jan Skvrna Jan Skvrna has won 13 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:04What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Moravec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-13 in 33
Moravec
Wrong
gap of 7 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moravec 1754 vs Skvrna 1678
Moravec
Wrong
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moravec 40% vs Skvrna 80%
Skvrna
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moravec 60% vs Skvrna 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Moravec -1 · Skvrna +4
Skvrna
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Moravec)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skvrna form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 1.44 / Skvrna 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Moravec)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13108801
Moravec1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite72% won 111 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it100% 50 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it88% 79 of 90
Skvrna2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 26 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back18% 5 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMoravec10wins
AwaySkvrna0wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMoravec leads 10–0, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoravec100%6 of 6
AwaySkvrna0%0 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravec6Skvrna4n = 10Moravec took 6 of 10
S2Moravec8Skvrna2n = 10Moravec took 8 of 10
S3Moravec9Skvrna1n = 10Moravec took 9 of 10
S4Moravec5Skvrna1n = 6Moravec took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMoravecSkvrnaM − SBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.829.5+10.3per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecSkvrnaBasisWin rate · lifetime254 / 443 vs 464 / 79957.3%58.1%254 / 443 vs 464 / 799Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.240.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecMoravec 1.44/Skvrna 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.1%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Skvrna won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 09:19B. Moravec—119911113J. Skvrna—61111462
WAug 30 · 06:40B. Moravec—111111113J. Skvrna—139431
WAug 13 · 17:10B. Moravec—1111113J. Skvrna—4880
WAug 13 · 15:40B. Moravec—1111113J. Skvrna—4890
WAug 12 · 09:08B. Moravec—71111113J. Skvrna—114971
WAug 12 · 07:40B. Moravec—1111113J. Skvrna—3750
WAug 5 · 14:15B. Moravec—111111133J. Skvrna—1378111
WJul 27 · 13:45B. Moravec—115114133J. Skvrna—511911112
WJul 18 · 09:10B. Moravec—81111113J. Skvrna—118581
WJul 18 · 08:10B. Moravec—1111113J. Skvrna—7970
B. Moravec10
LSep 10 · 16:50B. Moravec1.4411741192F. Chaloupka2.63611114113LSep 10 · 14:45B. Moravec2.00119911112J. Pribyl1.73611114133WSep 10 · 13:45B. Moravec1.50111195113F. Chaloupka2.5057111162WSep 6 · 08:53F. Chaloupka3.0081151172B. Moravec1.36117114113LSep 6 · 07:40B. Moravec1.80611761J. Gembala1.9111211113LSep 6 · 06:40B. Moravec1.4436111172F. Chaloupka2.63111159113LSep 6 · 05:40B. Moravec1.806950D. Stusek1.911111113WAug 30 · 09:19B. Moravec1.44119911113J. Skvrna2.6361111462WAug 30 · 07:40B. Moravec1.44831112113F. Chaloupka2.63111181032WAug 30 · 06:40B. Moravec1.44111111113J. Skvrna2.63139431
J. Skvrna10
LSep 10 · 17:20J. Skvrna1.538970J. Pribyl2.381111113WSep 10 · 15:15F. Chaloupka2.20611371J. Skvrna1.6111911113WSep 10 · 14:15J. Skvrna1.6711117143J. Pribyl2.108911121WSep 10 · 12:49T. Grmela2.20117871J. Skvrna1.6131111113WSep 10 · 11:45B. Mrowetz2.0011118682J. Skvrna1.73731111113LSep 10 · 11:15L. Slavik3.50641111113J. Skvrna1.2811118272LSep 10 · 10:15J. Skvrna1.57117591T. Grmela2.2581111113WSep 9 · 13:10J. Skvrna1.7312411213R. Sedlacek2.0010117191LAug 30 · 09:19B. Moravec1.44119911113J. Skvrna2.6361111462LAug 30 · 06:40B. Moravec1.44111111113J. Skvrna2.63139431
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