Michal Macurak vs Tomas Krenek 3-2

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT CupMatch #13114924

Played Sep 11Finished

Michal Macurak

Home

1.83

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 4

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

1161113118611119

Tomas Krenek

Away

1.83

At publish

Lost last 8

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 8

How it is goingMichal Macurak above · Tomas Krenek below

Set 1 · 11-6

Set 2 · 11-13

Set 3 · 11-8

Set 4 · 6-11

Set 5 · 11-9

Point 97 set 5, 11-9

97 points played in total.

H2H Michal Macurak 13–12 Tomas Krenek Tomas Krenek has won 12 of their 25 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6SplitHead to head

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Macurak)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Krenek form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMacurak 1.83 / Krenek 1.83

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Macurak)+4.0pp

TT Cup · #13114924

Macurak1.83

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

Krenek1.83

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 8

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeMacurak4wins

AwayKrenek6wins

5 of 10 to a deciderKrenek leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeMacurak60%3 of 5

AwayKrenek80%4 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Macurak5Krenek5n = 10split evenly

S2Macurak6Krenek4n = 10Macurak took 6 of 10

S3Macurak6Krenek4n = 10Macurak took 6 of 10

S4Macurak4Krenek5n = 9Krenek took 5 of 9

S5Macurak1Krenek4n = 5Krenek took 4 of 5

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away440%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricMacurakKrenekM − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.041.5−2.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricMacurakKrenekBasisWin rate · lifetime236 / 467 vs 453 / 90350.5%50.2%236 / 467 vs 453 / 903Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.239.4per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Macurak

Macurak 1.83/Krenek 1.83

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Macurak · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Macurak won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 11 · 10:40M. Macurak—11411113T. Krenek—711891

WSep 8 · 06:40M. Macurak—1111123T. Krenek—97100

LAug 24 · 11:10M. Macurak—11112902T. Krenek—991111113

LAug 19 · 11:45M. Macurak—12114462T. Krenek—1051111113

LAug 18 · 10:10M. Macurak—1212891T. Krenek—141011113

LAug 7 · 05:40M. Macurak—98111162T. Krenek—111163113

WJul 2 · 10:15M. Macurak—118119143T. Krenek—711611122

LJul 2 · 09:15M. Macurak—91141142T. Krenek—115117113

WJul 2 · 07:45M. Macurak—81112113T. Krenek—1171041

LJun 28 · 15:40M. Macurak—2611101T. Krenek—11119123

M. Macurak10

LSep 11 · 11:40M. Macurak1.6161111732J. Krupnik2.20117811113 WSep 11 · 10:40M. Macurak1.8311411113T. Krenek1.83711891 LSep 11 · 09:40M. Macurak1.575690D. Pawlik2.251111113 LSep 8 · 09:10J. Gembala1.63911811113M. Macurak2.0611311482 LSep 8 · 07:40M. Macurak2.10571191J. Gembala1.6711118113 WSep 8 · 06:40M. Macurak1.911111123T. Krenek1.8097100 WSep 8 · 05:40M. Macurak1.5091111113D. Jr2.50116861 WSep 6 · 21:20M. Macurak1.7041111113J. Travnicek1.96114991 WSep 6 · 19:40D. Skulina1.6711119492M. Macurak2.10771111113 WSep 6 · 19:10P. Marsalek2.20891131M. Macurak1.6111118113

T. Krenek10

LSep 11 · 12:10T. Krenek1.737650D. Pawlik2.001111113 LSep 11 · 10:40M. Macurak1.8311411113T. Krenek1.83711891 LSep 11 · 10:10J. Krupnik1.91711118113T. Krenek1.8011341152 LSep 11 · 08:38J. Krupnik1.8091311113T. Krenek1.911111491 LSep 11 · 08:10J. Krupnik2.0016117113T. Krenek1.731441171 LSep 11 · 07:10T. Krenek2.107111191J. Gembala1.6711137113 LSep 11 · 05:40A. Vitasek1.5311117113T. Krenek2.38961181 LSep 8 · 13:05T. Krenek1.91124581J. Skvrna1.80101111113 LSep 8 · 11:40J. Skvrna1.731171011123T. Krenek2.00811129102 LSep 8 · 06:40M. Macurak1.911111123T. Krenek1.8097100

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