TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13113943
Played Sep 11Finished
Jan Krupnik
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111311114119––
Tomas Krenek
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingJan Krupnik above · Tomas Krenek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 79 set 4, 11-9
79 points played in total.
H2H Jan Krupnik 40–39 Tomas Krenek Tomas Krenek has won 39 of their 79 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krupnik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krenek form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrupnik 1.80 / Krenek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Krupnik)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13113943
Krupnik1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 154 of 279
Up 2–0, closes it95% 69 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it72% 110 of 152
Krenek1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog55% won 123 of 225
Down 0–1, comes back44% 54 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back16% 7 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrupnik5wins
AwayKrenek5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrupnik50%2 of 4
AwayKrenek50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krupnik4Krenek6n = 10Krenek took 6 of 10
S2Krupnik5Krenek5n = 10split evenly
S3Krupnik6Krenek4n = 10Krupnik took 6 of 10
S4Krupnik5Krenek5n = 10split evenly
S5Krupnik3Krenek3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrupnikKrenekKrupnik − KrenekBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match44.446.1−1.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrupnikKrenekBasisWin rate · lifetime445 / 864 vs 453 / 89951.5%50.4%445 / 864 vs 453 / 899Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrupnikKrupnik 1.80/Krenek 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Krupnik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Krupnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 09:10J. Krupnik—131110153T. Krenek—11712131
LAug 25 · 07:40J. Krupnik—101111852T. Krenek—126911113
WAug 19 · 10:15J. Krupnik—561111113T. Krenek—11119852
LAug 19 · 09:20J. Krupnik—11127952T. Krenek—3101111113
LAug 19 · 07:15J. Krupnik—411961T. Krenek—11811113
WAug 18 · 12:10J. Krupnik—1213113113T. Krenek—141191162
LAug 16 · 14:15J. Krupnik—6411121T. Krenek—11119143
WAug 12 · 12:38J. Krupnik—11811123T. Krenek—9119101
LAug 12 · 10:10J. Krupnik—121191282T. Krenek—10131110113
WAug 7 · 07:40J. Krupnik—9121112113T. Krenek—111471062
J. Krupnik10
WSep 11 · 08:10J. Krupnik2.0016117113T. Krenek1.731441171LSep 11 · 06:40A. Vitasek1.73121311153J. Krupnik2.0014115131WSep 11 · 06:10J. Gembala1.6181181152J. Krupnik2.20119116113WSep 10 · 09:20D. Pawlik1.832141161J. Krupnik1.8311162113WSep 10 · 07:45J. Krupnik1.7361213113T. Grmela2.0011101171WSep 10 · 06:45J. Krupnik2.00741111113R. Benes1.7311113662LSep 10 · 05:45J. Krupnik1.6111117592D. Pawlik2.20871111113WSep 8 · 21:15D. Skulina1.7357110J. Krupnik2.001111133WSep 8 · 20:15J. Krupnik1.531111113A. Cizek2.385970LSep 8 · 18:45D. Skulina1.801211143J. Krupnik1.91104120
T. Krenek10
LSep 11 · 08:10J. Krupnik2.0016117113T. Krenek1.731441171LSep 11 · 07:10T. Krenek2.107111191J. Gembala1.6711137113LSep 11 · 05:40A. Vitasek1.5311117113T. Krenek2.38961181LSep 8 · 13:05T. Krenek1.91124581J. Skvrna1.80101111113LSep 8 · 11:40J. Skvrna1.731171011123T. Krenek2.00811129102WSep 8 · 11:10T. Kindl1.831291191T. Krenek1.83101113113WSep 8 · 10:10T. Krenek1.611211113D. Jr2.2010890WSep 8 · 08:38D. Jr1.91815120T. Krenek1.801117143LSep 8 · 08:10T. Krenek1.61316671D. Jr2.20111411113LSep 8 · 06:40M. Macurak1.911111123T. Krenek1.8097100
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