TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13112414
Played Sep 11Finished
Adam Vitasek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
121413111151513––
Jan Krupnik
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:44 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeAdam Vitasek to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Vitasek above · Jan Krupnik below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 15-13
Point 94 set 4, 15-13 — our read held Adam Vitasek at 57.7%
94 points played in total.
H2H Adam Vitasek 1–0 Jan Krupnik Jan Krupnik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:44What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vitasek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vitasek 1546 vs Krupnik 1593
Krupnik
Wrong
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vitasek 40% vs Krupnik 80%
Krupnik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vitasek 30% vs Krupnik 80%
Krupnik
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vitasek +2 · Krupnik +4
Krupnik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vitasek) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krupnik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVitasek 1.73 / Krupnik 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vitasek)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13112414
Vitasek1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite46% won 11 of 24
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it64% 9 of 14
Krupnik2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog50% won 110 of 222
Down 0–1, comes back30% 27 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVitasek1wins
AwayKrupnik0wins
Vitasek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVitasekKrupnikV − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match51.043.0+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVitasekKrupnikBasisWin rate · lifetime35 / 75 vs 444 / 86346.7%51.5%35 / 75 vs 444 / 863Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VitasekVitasek 1.73/Krupnik 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vitasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vitasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 11 · 06:40A. Vitasek—121311153J. Krupnik—14115131
A. Vitasek10
LSep 11 · 07:40A. Vitasek1.73117671J. Gembala2.0081111113WSep 11 · 05:40A. Vitasek1.5311117113T. Krenek2.38961181WAug 26 · 20:45R. Kowal1.531111641A. Vitasek2.3813811113LAug 26 · 20:15R. Kowal1.8391111113A. Vitasek1.83116861LAug 26 · 19:15A. Vitasek1.8011712101A. Baros1.9181114123LAug 26 · 17:45R. Niezgoda1.5013128113A. Vitasek2.5011101191LJul 29 · 16:38A. Vitasek1.6111111491J. Gembala2.2061316113WJul 29 · 16:10A. Vitasek1.611211113J. Gembala2.2010990LJul 29 · 14:40F. Sikora1.7311126113A. Vitasek2.006101151LJul 29 · 14:10J. Rak1.5711311113A. Vitasek2.25611651
J. Krupnik10
WSep 11 · 06:10J. Gembala1.6181181152J. Krupnik2.20119116113WSep 10 · 09:20D. Pawlik1.832141161J. Krupnik1.8311162113WSep 10 · 07:45J. Krupnik1.7361213113T. Grmela2.0011101171WSep 10 · 06:45J. Krupnik2.00741111113R. Benes1.7311113662LSep 10 · 05:45J. Krupnik1.6111117592D. Pawlik2.20871111113WSep 8 · 21:15D. Skulina1.7357110J. Krupnik2.001111133WSep 8 · 20:15J. Krupnik1.531111113A. Cizek2.385970LSep 8 · 18:45D. Skulina1.801211143J. Krupnik1.91104120WSep 8 · 18:15J. Lisztwan1.831061151J. Krupnik1.8312119113WSep 7 · 20:45R. Sedlacek1.8311690J. Krupnik1.831311113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.