TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13112437
Played Sep 11Finished
Adam Vitasek
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119116711118––
Tomas Krenek
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:47 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeAdam Vitasek to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Vitasek above · Tomas Krenek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 74 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Adam Vitasek at 60.8%
74 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:47What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Vitasek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Vitasek 1515 vs Krenek 1646
Krenek
Wrong
both rated, 131 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vitasek 20% vs Krenek 60%
Krenek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vitasek 20% vs Krenek 50%
Krenek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vitasek +1 · Krenek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Vitasek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krenek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVitasek 1.53 / Krenek 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Vitasek)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13112437
Vitasek1.53
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite46% won 11 of 24
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it64% 9 of 14
Krenek2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog55% won 123 of 225
Down 0–1, comes back44% 54 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back16% 7 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricVitasekKrenekBasisWin rate · lifetime33 / 73 vs 453 / 89645.2%50.6%33 / 73 vs 453 / 896Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.339.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VitasekVitasek 1.53/Krenek 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Vitasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vitasek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Vitasek10
LSep 11 · 07:40A. Vitasek1.73117671J. Gembala2.0081111113WSep 11 · 06:40A. Vitasek1.73121311153J. Krupnik2.0014115131WAug 26 · 20:45R. Kowal1.531111641A. Vitasek2.3813811113LAug 26 · 20:15R. Kowal1.8391111113A. Vitasek1.83116861LAug 26 · 19:15A. Vitasek1.8011712101A. Baros1.9181114123LAug 26 · 17:45R. Niezgoda1.5013128113A. Vitasek2.5011101191LJul 29 · 16:38A. Vitasek1.6111111491J. Gembala2.2061316113WJul 29 · 16:10A. Vitasek1.611211113J. Gembala2.2010990LJul 29 · 14:40F. Sikora1.7311126113A. Vitasek2.006101151LJul 29 · 14:10J. Rak1.5711311113A. Vitasek2.25611651
T. Krenek10
LSep 11 · 07:10T. Krenek2.107111191J. Gembala1.6711137113LSep 8 · 13:05T. Krenek1.91124581J. Skvrna1.80101111113LSep 8 · 11:40J. Skvrna1.731171011123T. Krenek2.00811129102WSep 8 · 11:10T. Kindl1.831291191T. Krenek1.83101113113WSep 8 · 10:10T. Krenek1.611211113D. Jr2.2010890WSep 8 · 08:38D. Jr1.91815120T. Krenek1.801117143LSep 8 · 08:10T. Krenek1.61316671D. Jr2.20111411113LSep 8 · 06:40M. Macurak1.911111123T. Krenek1.8097100LSep 8 · 06:10J. Gembala1.831211113T. Krenek1.8310670WSep 6 · 13:10T. Krenek1.8613111113L. Slavik1.781111581
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