TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13112452
Played Sep 11Finished
Tomas Krenek
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111113117911––
Jan Gembala
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:47 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeJan Gembala to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Krenek above · Jan Gembala below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 80 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Jan Gembala at 57.4%
80 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Krenek 9–17 Jan Gembala Tomas Krenek has won 9 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:47What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Gembala
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-17 in 26
Gembala
Correct
gap of 8 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krenek 1621 vs Gembala 1726
Gembala
Correct
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krenek 40% vs Gembala 80%
Gembala
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krenek 40% vs Gembala 90%
Gembala
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krenek -3 · Gembala -1
Krenek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Gembala) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gembala form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrenek 2.10 / Gembala 1.67
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Gembala)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13112452
Krenek2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog55% won 123 of 225
Down 0–1, comes back44% 54 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back16% 7 of 45
Gembala1.67
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 90 of 158
Up 2–0, closes it98% 53 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it79% 70 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrenek3wins
AwayGembala7wins
Gembala leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrenekn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayGembala87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krenek2Gembala8n = 10Gembala took 8 of 10
S2Krenek5Gembala5n = 10split evenly
S3Krenek3Gembala7n = 10Gembala took 7 of 10
S4Krenek2Gembala3n = 5Gembala took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrenekGembalaK − GBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match31.134.9−3.8per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrenekGembalaBasisWin rate · lifetime453 / 898 vs 204 / 37250.5%54.8%453 / 898 vs 204 / 372Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GembalaKrenek 2.10/Gembala 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.2%
Gembala · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gembala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 07:10T. Krenek—7111191J. Gembala—11137113
LSep 8 · 06:10T. Krenek—10670J. Gembala—1211113
LAug 18 · 13:15T. Krenek—4980J. Gembala—1111113
LAug 18 · 10:40T. Krenek—811761J. Gembala—11911113
WAug 15 · 10:10T. Krenek—1111113J. Gembala—9650
LJun 18 · 11:40T. Krenek—5960J. Gembala—1111113
LJun 17 · 07:40T. Krenek—39110J. Gembala—1111133
WJun 3 · 05:40T. Krenek—11119113J. Gembala—771181
LJun 2 · 08:45T. Krenek—11111041J. Gembala—13812113
WJun 2 · 07:10T. Krenek—101111113J. Gembala—128851
T. Krenek10
LSep 11 · 05:40A. Vitasek1.5311117113T. Krenek2.38961181LSep 8 · 13:05T. Krenek1.91124581J. Skvrna1.80101111113LSep 8 · 11:40J. Skvrna1.731171011123T. Krenek2.00811129102WSep 8 · 11:10T. Kindl1.831291191T. Krenek1.83101113113WSep 8 · 10:10T. Krenek1.611211113D. Jr2.2010890WSep 8 · 08:38D. Jr1.91815120T. Krenek1.801117143LSep 8 · 08:10T. Krenek1.61316671D. Jr2.20111411113LSep 8 · 06:40M. Macurak1.911111123T. Krenek1.8097100LSep 8 · 06:10J. Gembala1.831211113T. Krenek1.8310670WSep 6 · 13:10T. Krenek1.8613111113L. Slavik1.781111581
J. Gembala10
WSep 11 · 07:40A. Vitasek1.73117671J. Gembala2.0081111113LSep 11 · 06:10J. Gembala1.6181181152J. Krupnik2.20119116113WSep 8 · 09:10J. Gembala1.63911811113M. Macurak2.0611311482WSep 8 · 07:40M. Macurak2.10571191J. Gembala1.6711118113WSep 8 · 07:10D. Jr2.63714991J. Gembala1.44111211113WSep 8 · 06:10J. Gembala1.831211113T. Krenek1.8310670WSep 6 · 09:25J. Gembala1.611111113D. Stusek2.206970WSep 6 · 07:40B. Moravec1.80611761J. Gembala1.9111211113WSep 6 · 07:10D. Stusek2.381210961J. Gembala1.53101211113WSep 6 · 06:10J. Gembala1.831111113F. Chaloupka1.831880
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.