TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13124949
Played Sep 13Finished
Radek Sedlacek
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611911811––––
Dalibor Velky Jr
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:49 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeRadek Sedlacek to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadek Sedlacek above · Dalibor Velky Jr below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 56 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Radek Sedlacek at 58.6%
56 points played in total.
H2H Radek Sedlacek 10–11 Dalibor Velky Jr Radek Sedlacek has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:49What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Sedlacek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-11 in 21
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sedlacek 1521 vs Jr 1616
Jr
Correct
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sedlacek 40% vs Jr 60%
Jr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sedlacek 20% vs Jr 60%
Jr
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sedlacek -2 · Jr -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Sedlacek) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSedlacek 1.53 / Jr 2.38
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Sedlacek)-2.8pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13124949
Sedlacek1.53
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite51% won 39 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it84% 16 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it75% 27 of 36
Jr2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 106 of 216
Down 0–1, comes back26% 28 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back8% 4 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSedlacek6wins
AwayJr4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSedlacek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSedlacek100%5 of 5
AwayJr80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sedlacek5Jr5n = 10split evenly
S2Sedlacek6Jr4n = 10Sedlacek took 6 of 10
S3Sedlacek8Jr2n = 10Sedlacek took 8 of 10
S4Sedlacek2Jr5n = 7Jr took 5 of 7
S5Sedlacek2Jr1n = 3Sedlacek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSedlacekJrS − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.636.8+1.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSedlacekJrBasisWin rate · lifetime139 / 303 vs 264 / 52845.9%50%139 / 303 vs 264 / 528Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SedlacekSedlacek 1.53/Jr 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58%
Sedlacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 10:40R. Sedlacek331111113D. Jr258890
WAug 18 · 09:45R. Sedlacek521110119113D. Jr4291231172
WAug 10 · 07:45R. Sedlacek4211911113D. Jr27711451
WJul 27 · 07:10R. Sedlacek42631111113D. Jr4511117972
LJul 17 · 09:14R. Sedlacek4781214582D. Jr5511101211113
LJul 17 · 07:15R. Sedlacek31711671D. Jr4211911113
WJul 15 · 08:40R. Sedlacek351211123D. Jr28108100
LJul 15 · 08:10R. Sedlacek327114101D. Jr4311911123
WJun 15 · 18:10R. Sedlacek331111113D. Jr146440
LJun 12 · 13:25R. Sedlacek399515101D. Jr47111113123
R. Sedlacek10
LSep 13 · 17:40M. Macurak1.611111113R. Sedlacek2.203340LSep 9 · 13:10J. Skvrna1.7312411213R. Sedlacek2.0010117191WSep 9 · 12:10R. Sedlacek1.3611117113L. Kantor3.00771171WSep 9 · 10:40J. Skvrna1.61111196112R. Sedlacek2.20941111133LSep 9 · 10:10R. Benes1.80411611113R. Sedlacek1.9111511892LSep 9 · 08:48L. Lasota1.731111113R. Sedlacek2.006830LSep 9 · 07:40R. Benes1.8012911113R. Sedlacek1.911011691LSep 9 · 07:10L. Lasota2.0011119113R. Sedlacek1.73691181LSep 9 · 06:10R. Sedlacek1.918611101D. Pawlik1.8011119123LSep 7 · 20:45R. Sedlacek1.8311690J. Krupnik1.831311113
D. Jr10
WSep 13 · 19:40M. Macurak1.67101191182D. Jr2.10124116113LSep 13 · 18:10D. Jr1.8011119792M. Moravec1.91991111113WSep 13 · 17:20J. Krupnik1.53131111882D. Jr2.38154411113WSep 13 · 16:10R. Benes2.0091113782D. Jr1.731131111113LSep 13 · 15:10D. Jr2.20681161J. Krupnik1.6111116113WSep 13 · 13:40M. Macurak1.71131112141D. Jr2.0015914163LSep 12 · 13:10M. Macurak1.701131111123D. Jr2.05911713102WSep 12 · 12:10A. Kanak2.0078100D. Jr1.731111123WSep 12 · 11:10D. Jr2.00711115113J. Pribyl1.7311981162LSep 12 · 09:40M. Macurak1.531111113D. Jr2.389760
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