TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13117703
Played Sep 12Finished
Adam Kanak
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7118111012––––
Dalibor Velky Jr
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDalibor Velky Jr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Kanak above · Dalibor Velky Jr below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 59 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Dalibor Velky Jr at 54.0%
59 points played in total.
H2H Adam Kanak 1–1 Dalibor Velky Jr Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickContradict
Sealed 23:53What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kanak 1630 vs Jr 1565
Kanak
Wrong
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanak 60% vs Jr 40%
Kanak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanak 60% vs Jr 30%
Kanak
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanak -1 · Jr +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanak 2.00 / Jr 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jr)+0.3pp
TT Cup · #13117703
Kanak2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog64% won 25 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back39% 7 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Jr1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite46% won 86 of 186
Up 2–0, closes it87% 40 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it67% 63 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKanak1wins
AwayJr1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKanakJrK − JBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match35.538.5−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKanakJrBasisWin rate · lifetime63 / 105 vs 260 / 52160%49.9%63 / 105 vs 260 / 521Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KanakKanak 2.00/Jr 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 27 · 05:45A. Kanak4211911113D. Jr34711791
LAug 24 · 17:40A. Kanak29812271D. Jr43111011113
A. Kanak10
LSep 12 · 12:39A. Kanak1.806450J. Pribyl1.911111113LSep 12 · 10:40M. Macurak1.831111113A. Kanak1.838780WSep 12 · 10:10J. Pribyl1.7311551192A. Kanak2.00811115113LSep 12 · 09:08A. Kanak1.447860L. Kantor2.631111113WSep 12 · 07:45A. Kanak1.611111113L. Kantor2.204860WSep 12 · 06:45A. Kanak1.67871111113T. Lysek2.1011117582WSep 12 · 05:45A. Kanak1.5011117113V. Konvicka2.50951151LSep 10 · 21:18A. Kanak1.83118111292J. Travnicek1.831311810113WSep 10 · 20:15A. Kanak1.73118711113P. Marsalek2.0081111792WSep 10 · 18:45J. Travnicek1.73411881A. Kanak2.0011811113
D. Jr10
LSep 12 · 13:10M. Macurak1.701131111123D. Jr2.05911713102WSep 12 · 11:10D. Jr2.00711115113J. Pribyl1.7311981162LSep 12 · 09:40M. Macurak1.531111113D. Jr2.389760WSep 8 · 12:35T. Kindl1.67791351D. Jr2.10111111113LSep 8 · 12:10D. Jr2.254990T. Kindl1.571111113LSep 8 · 10:40J. Skvrna1.571141111113D. Jr2.2561191362LSep 8 · 10:10T. Krenek1.611211113D. Jr2.2010890LSep 8 · 08:38D. Jr1.91815120T. Krenek1.801117143WSep 8 · 08:10T. Krenek1.61316671D. Jr2.20111411113LSep 8 · 07:10D. Jr2.63714991J. Gembala1.44111211113
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