TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13116787
Played Sep 12Finished
Adam Kanak
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811711117115118
Tomas Lysek
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Lysek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAdam Kanak above · Tomas Lysek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 90 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Tomas Lysek at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Adam Kanak 2–1 Tomas Lysek Tomas Lysek has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:56What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kanak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kanak 1643 vs Lysek 1527
Kanak
Correct
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanak 60% vs Lysek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanak 70% vs Lysek 50%
Kanak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanak +1 · Lysek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kanak) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lysek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanak 1.67 / Lysek 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Kanak)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13116787
Kanak1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 33 of 57
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it80% 20 of 25
Lysek2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 20 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back19% 4 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKanak2wins
AwayLysek1wins
3 of 3 to a deciderKanak leads 2–1, and 3 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kanak1Lysek2n = 3Lysek took 2 of 3
S2Kanak1Lysek2n = 3Lysek took 2 of 3
S3Kanak3Lysek0n = 3Kanak took 3 of 3
S4Kanak1Lysek2n = 3Lysek took 2 of 3
S5Kanak2Lysek1n = 3Kanak took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home267%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKanakLysekK − LBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match49.045.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKanakLysekBasisWin rate · lifetime61 / 101 vs 123 / 23160.4%53.3%61 / 101 vs 123 / 231Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KanakKanak 1.67/Lysek 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.6%
Kanak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kanak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 12 · 06:45A. Kanak—871111113T. Lysek—11117582
WSep 5 · 15:15A. Kanak—711118123T. Lysek—118511102
LJul 23 · 10:40A. Kanak—119119102T. Lysek—511911123
A. Kanak10
WSep 12 · 07:45A. Kanak1.611111113L. Kantor2.204860WSep 12 · 05:45A. Kanak1.5011117113V. Konvicka2.50951151LSep 10 · 21:18A. Kanak1.83118111292J. Travnicek1.831311810113WSep 10 · 20:15A. Kanak1.73118711113P. Marsalek2.0081111792WSep 10 · 18:45J. Travnicek1.73411881A. Kanak2.0011811113LSep 10 · 18:15I. Heuman1.8311311113A. Kanak1.83611661WSep 8 · 17:30A. Kanak1.441110912113V. Konvicka2.63312111052WSep 8 · 15:45A. Kanak1.5051311113K. Baros2.501111741WSep 8 · 14:45A. Kanak1.571111113V. Konvicka2.252980LSep 8 · 13:45A. Kanak1.6176100D. Osvald2.201111123
T. Lysek10
LSep 12 · 06:15L. Kantor1.911111203T. Lysek1.8059180WSep 5 · 21:30I. Heuman2.639740T. Lysek1.441111113WSep 5 · 20:15T. Lysek2.208111011153I. Heuman1.61119129132LSep 5 · 18:45K. Kleprlik1.53111176133T. Lysek2.38571111112WSep 5 · 18:15A. Cizek1.571010111192T. Lysek2.25121259113WSep 5 · 16:45L. Kantor1.8091161162T. Lysek1.90118118113LSep 5 · 16:15J. Volny1.8311711113T. Lysek1.83911981LSep 5 · 15:15T. Lysek1.80118511102A. Kanak1.91711118123LSep 5 · 13:45L. Kantor2.0011117123T. Lysek1.737611101WAug 28 · 17:10O. Kus2.107690T. Lysek1.671111113
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