TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13109193
Played Sep 10Finished
Adam Kanak
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118811711117119
Patrik Marsalek
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:03 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeAdam Kanak to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Kanak above · Patrik Marsalek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 94 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Adam Kanak at 56.5%
94 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kanak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kanak 1625 vs Marsalek 1512
Kanak
Correct
both rated, 113 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanak 80% vs Marsalek 20%
Kanak
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanak 80% vs Marsalek 30%
Kanak
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanak +1 · Marsalek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kanak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marsalek form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanak 1.73 / Marsalek 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Kanak)+2.8pp
TT Cup · #13109193
Kanak1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 32 of 55
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it79% 19 of 24
Marsalek2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 19 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back28% 7 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKanakMarsalekBasisWin rate · lifetime58 / 97 vs 50 / 10859.8%46.3%58 / 97 vs 50 / 108Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KanakKanak 1.73/Marsalek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Kanak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kanak won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Kanak10
WSep 10 · 18:45J. Travnicek1.73411881A. Kanak2.0011811113LSep 10 · 18:15I. Heuman1.8311311113A. Kanak1.83611661WSep 8 · 17:30A. Kanak1.441110912113V. Konvicka2.63312111052WSep 8 · 15:45A. Kanak1.5051311113K. Baros2.501111741WSep 8 · 14:45A. Kanak1.571111113V. Konvicka2.252980LSep 8 · 13:45A. Kanak1.6176100D. Osvald2.201111123WSep 7 · 21:10A. Kanak1.6781311153T. Molin2.1011114131WSep 7 · 19:40A. Kanak1.731111113A. Cizek2.009860WSep 7 · 18:40A. Kanak1.9191115113T. Molin1.801181361WSep 7 · 17:40A. Kanak1.531111113D. Branny2.384990
P. Marsalek10
LSep 10 · 20:48P. Marsalek1.8010760I. Heuman1.911211113WSep 10 · 19:15P. Marsalek2.2011711113I. Heuman1.61611891LSep 10 · 17:45J. Travnicek1.6712114143P. Marsalek2.1010511121LSep 6 · 20:48P. Marsalek2.0058100D. Skulina1.731111123LSep 6 · 20:10J. Travnicek1.731191112113P. Marsalek2.0091181462LSep 6 · 19:10P. Marsalek2.20891131M. Macurak1.6111118113WSep 6 · 17:40D. Skulina1.50101331182P. Marsalek2.501211117113LAug 28 · 20:50P. Marsalek1.91117851I. Heuman1.8091111113WAug 28 · 20:15P. Marsalek2.10411511113I. Heuman1.6711211722LAug 28 · 18:45K. Kleprlik1.7341311113P. Marsalek2.001111831
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