TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13038178
Played Aug 28Finished
Patrik Marsalek
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119711811511––
Ivan Heuman
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingPatrik Marsalek above · Ivan Heuman below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 73 set 4, 5-11
73 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Marsalek 1–1 Ivan Heuman Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Heuman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heuman form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarsalek 1.91 / Heuman 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Heuman)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13038178
Marsalek1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog51% won 19 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back33% 7 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Heuman1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite45% won 46 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it69% 35 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMarsalek1wins
AwayHeuman1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricMarsalekHeumanM − HBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match39.536.0+3.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarsalekHeumanBasisWin rate · lifetime48 / 101 vs 183 / 37647.5%48.7%48 / 101 vs 183 / 376Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.839.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HeumanMarsalek 1.91/Heuman 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Heuman · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Heuman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 28 · 20:15P. Marsalek—411511113I. Heuman—11211722
LAug 10 · 20:15P. Marsalek—119981I. Heuman—61111113
P. Marsalek10
LSep 6 · 20:48P. Marsalek2.0058100D. Skulina1.731111123LSep 6 · 20:10J. Travnicek1.731191112113P. Marsalek2.0091181462LSep 6 · 19:10P. Marsalek2.20891131M. Macurak1.6111118113WSep 6 · 17:40D. Skulina1.50101331182P. Marsalek2.501211117113WAug 28 · 20:15P. Marsalek2.10411511113I. Heuman1.6711211722LAug 28 · 18:45K. Kleprlik1.7341311113P. Marsalek2.001111831LAug 28 · 18:15J. Travnicek1.8311157113P. Marsalek1.837131161LAug 26 · 20:45P. Marsalek1.67115881J. Travnicek2.1051111113LAug 26 · 20:10P. Marsalek1.73715851D. Vitasek2.00111311113WAug 26 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.61115118102P. Marsalek2.20911811123
I. Heuman10
LSep 5 · 21:30I. Heuman2.639740T. Lysek1.441111113LSep 5 · 20:15T. Lysek2.208111011153I. Heuman1.61119129132WSep 5 · 19:15I. Heuman1.73128116183A. Cizek2.001011611162WSep 5 · 17:45K. Kleprlik2.006131291I. Heuman1.73111114113LSep 4 · 20:38J. Travnicek1.731111133I. Heuman2.0099110WSep 4 · 19:45I. Heuman1.9111143113D. Skulina1.809121161LSep 4 · 18:45I. Heuman1.809111410122K. Kleprlik1.911141212143LSep 4 · 17:45I. Heuman2.00811961J. Travnicek1.7311611113WSep 2 · 21:20J. Travnicek1.6761070I. Heuman2.101112113LAug 28 · 20:15P. Marsalek2.10411511113I. Heuman1.6711211722
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