TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13023141
Played Aug 26Finished
Patrik Marsalek
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
115511811811––
Jakub Travnicek
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
How it is goingPatrik Marsalek above · Jakub Travnicek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 70 set 4, 8-11
70 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Marsalek 3–1 Jakub Travnicek Jakub Travnicek has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Marsalek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Travnicek form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarsalek 1.67 / Travnicek 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Marsalek)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #13023141
Marsalek1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite64% won 14 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it82% 9 of 11
Travnicek2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 62 of 124
Down 0–1, comes back31% 23 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMarsalek3wins
AwayTravnicek1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderMarsalek leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Marsalek2Travnicek2n = 4split evenly
S2Marsalek2Travnicek2n = 4split evenly
S3Marsalek1Travnicek3n = 4Travnicek took 3 of 4
S4Marsalek3Travnicek0n = 3Marsalek took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricMarsalekTravnicekM − TBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match39.835.2+4.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarsalekTravnicekBasisWin rate · lifetime47 / 97 vs 184 / 38048.5%48.4%47 / 97 vs 184 / 380Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarsalekMarsalek 1.67/Travnicek 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Marsalek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Travnicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 26 · 18:40P. Marsalek—911811123J. Travnicek—115118102
LAug 20 · 20:10P. Marsalek—9580J. Travnicek—1111113
WAug 6 · 20:15P. Marsalek—11911113J. Travnicek—411961
WAug 3 · 18:10P. Marsalek—111210113J. Travnicek—4101271
P. Marsalek10
LSep 6 · 20:48P. Marsalek2.0058100D. Skulina1.731111123LSep 6 · 20:10J. Travnicek1.731191112113P. Marsalek2.0091181462LSep 6 · 19:10P. Marsalek2.20891131M. Macurak1.6111118113WSep 6 · 17:40D. Skulina1.50101331182P. Marsalek2.501211117113LAug 28 · 20:50P. Marsalek1.91117851I. Heuman1.8091111113WAug 28 · 20:15P. Marsalek2.10411511113I. Heuman1.6711211722LAug 28 · 18:45K. Kleprlik1.7341311113P. Marsalek2.001111831LAug 28 · 18:15J. Travnicek1.8311157113P. Marsalek1.837131161LAug 26 · 20:10P. Marsalek1.73715851D. Vitasek2.00111311113WAug 26 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.61115118102P. Marsalek2.20911811123
J. Travnicek10
LSep 6 · 21:20M. Macurak1.7041111113J. Travnicek1.96114991WSep 6 · 20:10J. Travnicek1.731191112113P. Marsalek2.0091181462WSep 6 · 18:40D. Skulina1.674770J. Travnicek2.101111113LSep 6 · 18:10M. Macurak1.7311101112153J. Travnicek2.00312614132WSep 4 · 20:38J. Travnicek1.731111133I. Heuman2.0099110LSep 4 · 20:15K. Kleprlik1.671111113J. Travnicek2.108590LSep 4 · 19:15J. Travnicek2.25751611102D. Skulina1.571111148123WSep 4 · 17:45I. Heuman2.00811961J. Travnicek1.7311611113WAug 28 · 18:15J. Travnicek1.8311157113P. Marsalek1.837131161LAug 26 · 18:40J. Travnicek1.61115118102P. Marsalek2.20911811123
Upcoming Matches
P. Marsalek
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J. Travnicek
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